Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Pro Tour: London
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
142nd • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.3
Surp
5.2
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cayne Wilbur (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Roman Legíň (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 13: Win vs Felix Krisch (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R14 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
11th • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Szabolcs Egri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christian Hauck (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
Round 15: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
92nd • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.7
Surp
3.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Franche Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Round 12: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 13: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jan-Hendrik Brinkforth (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Gary White (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
108th • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
4.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Logan Petersen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Round 12: Loss vs Elly Bird (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Marijn Lybaert (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Joe Whetter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Justin Irby (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
77th • 4-5-0
78%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Fernandes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Markus Jonsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Loss vs Tiago Rodrigues (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs William Pistel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
Round 13: Win vs Thomas Harle (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
Round 15: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (4.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
117th • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Cohea (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Feeney (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs kuba tambor (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Grégory Lefebvre (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Paul Dollé (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 27:73
Round 15: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dominik Piatkowski (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Adam Fischer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Allen Lau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vladislovas Kofyrinas (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luis Felipe Bueno da Silva (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rasmus Møller (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cedric DeRouchie (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jason Nakata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nico Grieco (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Latino (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cody Williams (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fred God (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Felipe Rita (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martin Okruhlica (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Win vs William Bradshaw (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Martin Holík (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Siméon Gruel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Billy Horn (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Martin Andreasson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oli Cornish (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Cohea (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 29:71
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Spescha (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
Round 5: Win vs Erik Baalhuis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Kuric (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
Round 3: Loss vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hugo Jobe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.