Jarl Vetreiði at Pro Tour: London
Jarl Vetreiði
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
90th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs May Made (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nguyen Giang (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
90:10
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 89:11
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
5:95
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 90% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
106th • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
4.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Léo Dupraz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Konrad Paziewski (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Roger Bodee (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
5:95
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67
Round 14: Win vs Finn Kleine (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Justin Cu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R15 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Enes Findik (Dash I/O) - Expected: 89:11
Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Celso Alves Lima Neto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Tickal (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alessandro Bracci (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carlos Cruz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
5:95
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
Round 4: Win vs Michael MacLeod (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Mario Cioffi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
5:95
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
Round 2: Win vs Piotr Chudobinski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Philip Connolley (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
5:95
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Devon Killebrew (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stew Fraser (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
5:95
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.