Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Caroline Flamia (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.