Nuu, Alluring Desire at SAT 0900 Battle Hardened (CC)

Nuu, Alluring Desire

11 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Pankaj Bhojwani

24th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Raahi Podichetty (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Oren Yishai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zyrone Powell (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tyler Wiggins (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Christian Scandariato (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 67:33

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.16
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.49
R7	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.54

Matthew Harris

27th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jaina Benton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dexter Canright (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Cody Broten (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Clover Ausdemore (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tristin Sedlacek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs sean Burke (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.32
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.42
R6	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Luke Manship

33rd • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Simon Wonser (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christopher Porter (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Axton Amentler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joshua Frailey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs jordan johnson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Oren Yishai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.16
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.44
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.38
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.92
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Samuel Adams

46th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alex Fraser (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs sean Burke (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jayne Van Ness (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Isaac Loren (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jack Lockwood (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs james Hohn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.08
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.42
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.42

Tyler Wiggins

60th • 2-4-1

71%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.5

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ryder Aguilera (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs AUSTIN BRILL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tracy Reeves (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Spencer Heaps (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Porter (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Logan Carlstrom (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.06
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Draw	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.46
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-

Jon Cardenas

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Natalie Birch (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Fraser (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kristian Perez (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ryon Keller (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs nathan ericksen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Frailey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.35
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.95
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-

Ka Chan

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.5

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mystyq Gem Pulmano (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Abtin RAVANIPOUR (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.11
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.43
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-

Ariel Struble

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Josh Lind (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Angel Jones (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dexter Canright (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.20
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Zyrone Powell

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alex Hamilton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kyle James (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jules Clark (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.27
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Colin Topper

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kyle James (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gwendolin Celestina (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dan Gans (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Matthew Hegquist

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mint Carroll (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Albert Purvis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.