SAT 0900 Battle Hardened (CC) - SCG CON Portland - Fang, Dracai of Blades (CC)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jacob Neet

18th • 5-1-1

57%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nathan Jacquart (Unknown)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Abtin RAVANIPOUR (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ezekiel Morrison (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ka Chan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mason Paladino (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Cody Broten (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jackson Klingbeil (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Draw	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.51
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.31
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.53
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

sean Burke

16th • 5-2-0

43%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.8

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Samuel Adams (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jackson Klingbeil (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Joshua Frailey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sadat Minick (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Spencer Heaps (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Win	✗	0.79	0.32
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.16
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.68
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.09
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.54

Evan Silverman

dropped • 1-4-0

20%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.2

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tegan Smerdon (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alex Hamilton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Biggs (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Raahi Podichetty (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 33:67

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Porter (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.25
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Josh Lind

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.4

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ian Thorne (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ariel Struble (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs jordan johnson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.36
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.