Ira, Scarlet Revenger
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andre Juarez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Botchis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Travis Spicer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Axton Amentler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Round 7: Win vs May Hayden (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
25th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gwendolin Celestina (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Tiller (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Win vs sean Burke (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cody Broten (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luke Putz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Irby (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
37th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cody Broten (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Albert Purvis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Natalie Birch (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Simon Wonser (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Catherine Levine (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kristian Perez (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
49th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sadat Minick (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs ALEXANDER HAYDEN (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Josh Lind (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs May Hayden (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Fraser (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Justin Miller (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Abtin RAVANIPOUR (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jake Denning (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Cornwell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ezekiel Morrison (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Taylor Jennings (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Peterson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Olsen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gwendolin Celestina (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Scott Weaville (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zyrone Powell (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Silverman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jules Clark (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.