Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
40th • 4-2-1
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Isaac Loren (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tabitha Stehman (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Clover Ausdemore (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Avery Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christopher Porter (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.