Prism, Awakener of Sol at SAT 0900 Battle Hardened (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Daniel Brouillet

14th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Trossman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Anthony Galleran (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Axton Amentler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

90:10

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 89:11

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.11
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.39
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.77
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Win	✗	0.72	1.06
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.16

Kristian Perez

53rd • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew zickler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 28:72

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs james Hohn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 17:83

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jon Cardenas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Isaac Loren (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 82:18

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Raahi Podichetty (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs David Breithaupt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Anthony Galleran (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.26
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.16
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Win	✗	0.72	1.33
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Christopher Porter

54th • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kristian Tate (Unknown)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tristin Sedlacek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs ALEXANDER HAYDEN (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Evan Silverman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tyler Wiggins (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jake Denning (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.28
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.52
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Ian Thorne

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Josh Lind (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Odin Boseth (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kyle James (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Simon Wonser (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Andrew zickler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 28:72

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.06
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.46
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.49
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.