Viserai, Rune Blood
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
30th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs james Hohn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs taylor holleman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Scott Weaville (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Natalie Birch (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs AUSTIN BRILL (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
34th • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kristian Perez (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick Deschamps (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Oren Yishai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brian Smith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ian Thorne (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
36th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cary Young (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sadat Minick (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ariel Struble (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Meier (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 87:13
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Biggs (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kyle James (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
62nd • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dave Gonzalez (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brian Smith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Evan Silverman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Round 5: Loss vs Kristian Perez (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Taylor Jennings (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Round 7: Loss vs Avery Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Case Finlay (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.