FaB-Results

Fai, Rising Rebellion at SAT 0900 Battle Hardened (CC) - SCG CON Portland

Fai, Rising Rebellion

Fai, Rising Rebellion

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Justin Miller
41st • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Albert Purvis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 60:40
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luke Putz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Kano, Dracai of Aether
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 33:67
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jaina Benton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs jordan johnson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Jaina Benton
63rd • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
Nuu, Alluring Desire
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 20:80
Dash I/O
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tristin Sedlacek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Jarl Vetreiði
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gavin Ceballos (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Logan Carlstrom (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dave Gonzalez (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 75:25
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Miller (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs ALEXANDER HAYDEN (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.