Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at SAT 0900 Battle Hardened (CC) - SCG CON Portland
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
65th • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Spencer Heaps (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Scandariato (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs ALEXANDER HAYDEN (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jaina Benton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jordan Cornwell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 7: Win vs Tyler Wiggins (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.