Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Wang (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Irby (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs Colin Topper (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs taylor holleman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.