Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at Calling: Hamburg 2026
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
31 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 10-3-0
46%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Liam Holden (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kilian Schellekens (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Florian Grabenstein (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chang Li (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andreas Albrecht (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Enes Findik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Eric Steuer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Eric Kyborg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
30th • 9-4-0
54%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Debling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Round 2: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mathias W (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maxime Forest (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Antonio Briola (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacques Carlson (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Andreas Albrecht (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
49th • 8-4-1
46%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.7
Surp
3.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathaniel Payne (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mateusz Wamser (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Paolo D’Innocenzo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Gianluigi Lia (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jacques Carlson (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Andreas Albrecht (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 55% | Draw |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
60th • 7-6-0
62%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
6.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Antony Butorin (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrei Lazar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ruben Van Dessel (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Danny Halstad (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mikko Salmi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Round 8: Win vs Thorben Kahnert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Round 12: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dominik Popławski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mark Bisschops (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yegor Borshch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Sauer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alwart Nijveld (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Tim Terborg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-2
55%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fabian Falk (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mikey Dwyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jan Kučera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Timo Cullmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tim Terborg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tino Mille (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Mateusz Pachciarz (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Thorben Kahnert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Christopher Bizau (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: 75:25
Round 11: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Draw |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Falko Holzenhauer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Przemysław Leszczyński (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tam Nguyen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Felix Krisch (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Finn Kleine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Liam Canning (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erwin Becker (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Liam Holden (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Florian Grabenstein (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dan Moldovan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Łukasz Schok (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Giorgos Dailianis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yegor Borshch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Fauth (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Quest Pittman (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christian Bach (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Declan Macewan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Erwin Becker (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Albrecht (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Lukaszewicz (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tommaso Fabbri (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jory van de Loo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Round 7: Loss vs Eric Kyborg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Quest Pittman (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mateusz Wamser (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: 75:25
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Philippos Koulousakis (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Sauer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rene Hentschel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mira Kubiczak (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tim Schneegans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Toby Beckham (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tobias Pechnig (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vitali Sperling (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Rotter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Manos Apostolakis (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Julia Happel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Frank Pilchowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rene Lorentsen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Bierholz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Erik Klinger (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christer Carlsson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tor Vorren (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 20:80
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Quinn Aurich (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Spencer Baker (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul Moerler (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Loss vs Matti Salmi (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dariusz Chrapek (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Loss vs Diego Rosa (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aurelien Souchet (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Pascal Brüggemann (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andreas Reling (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jonasemil Schmidt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 80:20
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mathias Schmidt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vlad Ciobotea (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs Christian Jelle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Toby Beckham (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Joergensen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mateusz Pachciarz (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Kaiser (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Lukaszewicz (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonas Larsen (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Round 7: Loss vs Niklas Schulte Osthoff (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Dariusz Chrapek (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gustavo Zarate (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Tuček (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Frank Pilchowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Linh Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Viet Phuong Ricardo Le (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lars-Christian Lieckfeldt (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henrik Ehlers (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mattis Kollek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul Döhrer (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bilel Manai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
Round 6: Win vs Summer Giles (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Beernaert (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simon Wolf (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Raul Verdejo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Ludwig Baumann (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Mathis Reteuna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Vlad Ciobotea (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Quinn Aurich (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tristan Del Pako (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Derek Patterson (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Markus Braumann (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Koch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Julia Happel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Canning (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Worrall (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Arnold Baars (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 63:37
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Raul Verdejo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Noah Greenwood (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Manon Godet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mert Gezgin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Diego Paoletti (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Loss vs Rasmus Møller (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Manos Apostolakis (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrik Weber (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 80:20
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yegor Borshch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jan ole Siener (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexandru Ungureanu (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Moerler (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marc-Andre Richter (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Konstantin Itson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Finlay Shepherd (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pawel Jaromin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Łukasz Schok (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Loss vs Vitali Sperling (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Erwin Becker (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Max Schönegg (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacques Carlson (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 43:57
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Raul Verdejo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dae-Jin Seon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Danny Halstad (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rene Hentschel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Marcisz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Manos Apostolakis (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs Roger Braun (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.