Jarl Vetreiði at Calling: Hamburg 2026
Jarl Vetreiði
21 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
40th • 9-4-0
62%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
5.0
Surp
4.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stefan Fohs (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ferdinand Wenke (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Quest Pittman (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 18:82
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 19:81
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Chang Li (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Mikko Salmi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
63rd • 7-6-0
77%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
5.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Romain Lambert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philippos Koulousakis (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Henrik Moilanen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fabian Rex (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeppe Madsen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Chang Li (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 19:81
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ryan Debling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Thorben Kahnert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Benjamin Buhot (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 6-6-0
83%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
5.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rik Godschalk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrea Migliavacca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mikko Salmi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Manon Godet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 8: Loss vs Aditya Rajan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Toby Beckham (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Adam Tuček (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Luca Muratori (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (6.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs cory macewan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mikko Salmi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Danny Halstad (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mateusz Wamser (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mira Kubiczak (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leonel Samayoa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Dreckmann (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marc Lanigra (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 59:41
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Moore (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 89:11
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alessandro Bracci (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lennart Paga (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 58:42
Round 8: Win vs nino Zimmermann (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 30% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 78:22
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christoph Greune (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Klitzsch (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alwart Nijveld (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tim Terborg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
90:10
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 90:10
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 90% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Held (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simon Wolf (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dominik Ixert (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Melvin Lemke-Detlefsen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tam Nguyen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 78:22
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Finn Labe (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Linh Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Plaschnick (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Cato DIrdal (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fritz Jenicek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tyler-Noel Kopmann (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marko Kresse (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 58:42
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gerret Brunke (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-1
62%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Janine Walter (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
Round 3: Loss vs Fabian Falk (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Pelka (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Luce Guidi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Round 6: Win vs Mark Schatz (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marc Bluhm (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Round 8: Loss vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Draw |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Romain Lambert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andreas Reling (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Boris Melnykov (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 18:82
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Diana Triebnig (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Violet FaB (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 78:22
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joscha Amann (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Malyk Höfle (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 19:81
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Cédric De smet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fritz Jenicek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Philippos Koulousakis (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fabian Falk (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
Round 6: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mark Bisschops (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Draw |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Larsen (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 19:81
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Erwin Becker (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs david deom (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Gadalla (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Markus Heimbeck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rene Specius (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-1
57%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexandru Ungureanu (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ростислав Морванюк (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Quinn Aurich (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tobias Rollet (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marko Kresse (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Beernaert (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dariusz Chrapek (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Draw |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-6-0
43%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joakim Fugelli (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marc Bluhm (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oliver Schindler (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Flemming Ketteler (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 19:81
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Spencer Baker (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Burghoff (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Bültel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jory van de Loo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cedric Leuzinger (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Sauer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefan Fohs (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mathew Davies (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Felix Lutzke (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-1
67%
Meta
-3.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Christofzik (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Urban (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Tom Griesbach (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Burghoff (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pascal Brüggemann (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aurelien Souchet (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-3.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Draw |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Frederik Pedersen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tim Bauer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Joergensen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs André Kofmel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Draw |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Niklas Wunsch (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tino Mille (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rene Gropp (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nino Chimenti (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Felix Mölck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nikolai Goldmann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Melvin Lemke-Detlefsen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Loss vs Rene Gropp (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Niels Debosschere (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Łukasz Schok (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.