Valda, Seismic Impact at Calling: Hamburg 2026
Valda, Seismic Impact
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Schall (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tim Bierholz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Julia Happel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Summer Giles (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Arnold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Adam Tuček (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65
Round 8: Win vs Boris Melnykov (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 20% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Griesbach (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Moore (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mawe-Rick Kaiser (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Round 5: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 88:12, favorite upset
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Patrick Hauser (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cato DIrdal (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sayan Srour (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Win vs Tim Schneegans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Smith (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 8: Win vs Bilel Manai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-6-0
25%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Florian Kink (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 18:82
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Roger Braun (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 88:12
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcel Kügler (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Manos Apostolakis (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 18:82
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dan Moldovan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mathias W (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 20:80
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Duc Minh Tran (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maximilian Czermin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Siem Fincken (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luce Guidi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Markus Braumann (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thore Ladicke (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Adam Urban (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 18:82
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Noè Giussani (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Lukaszewicz (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Olivar Rodén (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Markus Braumann (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Jakob Immer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Lasse Saxer (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gerret Brunke (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-6-0
17%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Vioni (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Loss vs Pawel Jaromin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dan Moldovan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Will Melyn (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 18:82
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Quinn Aurich (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 17:83
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Callum Young (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Vioni (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Loss vs Summer Giles (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arne Walter (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 88:12
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrien Delacroix (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Koch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Round 4: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.