Valda, Seismic Impact at Calling: Hamburg 2026
Valda, Seismic Impact
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Schall (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tim Bierholz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Julia Happel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 78:22
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Summer Giles (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 78:22
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Arnold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 78:22
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Adam Tuček (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 40:60
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Boris Melnykov (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
Round 2: Win vs Tom Griesbach (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Moore (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 20:80
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mawe-Rick Kaiser (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Patrick Hauser (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cato DIrdal (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sayan Srour (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tim Schneegans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Smith (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 8: Win vs Bilel Manai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-6-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Florian Kink (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 23:77
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Roger Braun (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcel Kügler (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Manos Apostolakis (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 23:77
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dan Moldovan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mathias W (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Duc Minh Tran (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maximilian Czermin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Siem Fincken (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Luce Guidi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Markus Braumann (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thore Ladicke (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Adam Urban (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 23:77
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Noè Giussani (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Lukaszewicz (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Olivar Rodén (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Markus Braumann (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
Round 4: Win vs Jakob Immer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Lasse Saxer (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gerret Brunke (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-6-0
33%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Vioni (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
Round 3: Loss vs Pawel Jaromin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dan Moldovan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Will Melyn (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 23:77
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Quinn Aurich (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Callum Young (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Alex Vioni (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Summer Giles (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arne Walter (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrien Delacroix (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Koch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.