Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

38th • 9-4-0
62%
Meta
+3.8
Perf
5.2
Surp
5.0
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Duc Minh Tran (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Katsu, the Wanderer
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hamish Dean (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 80:20
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chang Li (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 17:83
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Liam Canning (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Debling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
15:85
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Linh Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 17:83
Kassai of the Golden Sand
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tim Terborg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
15:85
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 17:83
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
15:85
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Rik Godschalk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 17:83
Jarl Vetreiði
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Luca Muratori (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Dash I/O
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Frederik Pedersen (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
dropped • 5-5-0
90%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rene Lorentsen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 80:20
Olympia, Prized Fighter
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Christofzik (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mateusz Pachciarz (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Fai, Rising Rebellion
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christian Bach (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Denis Poulin Lacasse (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Timo Cullmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 17:83
Arakni, Marionette
!!
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Zyggy Starlight
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Niklas Schulte Osthoff (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Jarl Vetreiði
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Markus Braumann (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 80:20
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 17:83
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 17:83
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michał Biernacki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 17:83
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tommaso Fabbri (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Celine Yasseri (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 17:83
Betsy, Skin in the Game
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Viet Phuong Ricardo Le (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Werner Maier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Elliot Bessède (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
Zyggy Starlight
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arnold Baars (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Enes Findik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 17:83
Valda, Seismic Impact
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Henry Wiesner (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benoit Diard (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.