Kassai of the Golden Sand

Kassai of the Golden Sand

16 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

5th • 10-4-0
71%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.7
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs theo duvalet (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 83:17
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christian Meinzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
Zyggy Starlight
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Niklas Astner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 71:29
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Debling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
Olympia, Prized Fighter
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
!
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Enes Findik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Dash I/O
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Adam Urban (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Olympia, Prized Fighter
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matti Salmi (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Eric Kyborg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Dash I/O
!
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
26th • 9-3-1
77%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.5
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas van Dijk (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremie Pohl (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
!
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Max Schmidt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Toby Beckham (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45
Olympia, Prized Fighter
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Jarl Vetreiði
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Koch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Frank Pilchowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Benjamin Buhot (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Olympia, Prized Fighter
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matti Salmi (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
46th • 8-5-0
54%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.7
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alwart Nijveld (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Sauer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Zyggy Starlight
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Niklas Schulte Osthoff (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 71:29
Zyggy Starlight
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andreas Albrecht (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 71:29
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Enes Findik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
!
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
!
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Chang Li (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Finn Labe (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Rik Godschalk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
54th • 8-5-0
62%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.1
Diff
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
!!
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kristian Faber (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Katsu, the Wanderer
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Violet FaB (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31
Arakni, Marionette
!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Finn Kleine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Chirulescu (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 71:29
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alessandro Sgura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Zyggy Starlight
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 71:29
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tim Terborg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Dash I/O
!
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Frederik Pedersen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Jarl Vetreiði
70:30
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Luca Muratori (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28
61st • 7-6-0
54%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.4
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paolo D’Innocenzo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Zyggy Starlight
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Spencer Baker (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 71:29
Bravo, Showstopper
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Hiller (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leonel Samayoa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Jarl Vetreiði
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Koch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Georg Sossnowetz (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tino Mille (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
!
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
4.3
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erik Elberfeld (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Fang, Dracai of Blades
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lewis Miller (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paul Beese (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michał Biernacki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mark Bisschops (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andreas Reling (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nikolaus Schnelle (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nino Chimenti (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Olympia, Prized Fighter
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Bizau (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Betsy, Skin in the Game
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Antonio Briola (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 75:25
dropped • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christoph Greune (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raphael Notz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gustavo Zarate (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nikolaus Schnelle (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Olivar Rodén (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45
Jarl Vetreiði
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Shane Steinert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jaden De-Arth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
dropped • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Juho Hälli (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxime Claveau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Dash I/O
!
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
!
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
dropped • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Christian Sal (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 82:18
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Vollmers (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
Fai, Rising Rebellion
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Jarl Vetreiði
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Leo Dancette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28
Fai, Rising Rebellion
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs shao qi Chen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
Zyggy Starlight
!!
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marcus Räthe (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Zyggy Starlight
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Simone Paterniti (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 71:29
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Arakni, Marionette
!
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Richard Kruithof (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martynas Norbutas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
Arakni, Marionette
!
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Giorgos Dailianis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Linh Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Angelo Zaccardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tino Mille (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
dropped • 2-3-1
83%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
Dash I/O
!
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Zyggy Starlight
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simone Paterniti (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 71:29
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!!
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noè Giussani (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Höpfner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Jarl Vetreiði
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Tristan Del Pako (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ognjen Marinkovic (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
Fai, Rising Rebellion
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Benedikt Sylvester (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.1
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mathew Davies (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ludwig Baumann (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 83:17
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tommaso Fabbri (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Olivar Rodén (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Schneider (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Erik Klinger (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.