Kassai of the Golden Sand at Calling: Hamburg 2026
Kassai of the Golden Sand
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-4-0
71%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs theo duvalet (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christian Meinzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Niklas Astner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Debling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Enes Findik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Adam Urban (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 42:58
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matti Salmi (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Eric Kyborg (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
71% (10/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
26th • 9-3-1
69%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas van Dijk (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs Jeremie Pohl (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Max Schmidt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Toby Beckham (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Koch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Frank Pilchowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Benjamin Buhot (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matti Salmi (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
46th • 8-5-0
46%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alwart Nijveld (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Sauer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Niklas Schulte Osthoff (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andreas Albrecht (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Enes Findik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Round 9: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 10: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Chang Li (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Finn Labe (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Rik Godschalk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
54th • 8-5-0
54%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
6.4
Surp
3.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kristian Faber (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Violet FaB (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Win vs Finn Kleine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Chirulescu (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
Round 6: Win vs Alessandro Sgura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Round 9: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tim Terborg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Frederik Pedersen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Luca Muratori (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
61st • 7-6-0
54%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paolo D’Innocenzo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Spencer Baker (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 65:35
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Hiller (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Leonel Samayoa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Koch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Georg Sossnowetz (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
Round 8: Win vs Tino Mille (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Round 11: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
4.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erik Elberfeld (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lewis Miller (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paul Beese (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
Round 7: Win vs Michał Biernacki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mark Bisschops (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andreas Reling (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nikolaus Schnelle (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nino Chimenti (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Bizau (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Antonio Briola (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 75% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christoph Greune (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raphael Notz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gustavo Zarate (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Loss vs Nikolaus Schnelle (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Olivar Rodén (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
Round 6: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Shane Steinert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jaden De-Arth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
95:5
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Juho Hälli (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 95:5
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Round 3: Win vs Maxime Claveau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
Round 5: Win vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 95% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Christian Sal (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Vollmers (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Leo Dancette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs shao qi Chen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Draw |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
Round 2: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marcus Räthe (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Simone Paterniti (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Round 6: Win vs Richard Kruithof (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martynas Norbutas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
Round 2: Win vs Giorgos Dailianis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Linh Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Angelo Zaccardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tino Mille (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
83%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simone Paterniti (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Loss vs Noè Giussani (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Höpfner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Tristan Del Pako (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Draw |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
Round 2: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Round 5: Loss vs Ognjen Marinkovic (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Benedikt Sylvester (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mathew Davies (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ludwig Baumann (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
Round 3: Loss vs Tommaso Fabbri (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Olivar Rodén (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Schneider (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
95:5
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Erik Klinger (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 95:5
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 95% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.