Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster at Calling: Hamburg 2026
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Milosz Sankowski (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 40:60
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mathias W (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Heidorn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Manuel Köber (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ferdinand Wenke (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tim Schneegans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Diana Triebnig (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Vollmers (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Angelo Zaccardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Elliot Bessède (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
5:95
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alessandro Sgura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 6:94
5:95
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael de Kok (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 6:94
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Smith (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
5:95
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 6:94
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 5% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 5% | Loss |
| R7 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 5% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrei Leucuta (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Matias Paulasaari (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Bach (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Diana Triebnig (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bernd Nielsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joaquim Torres (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 14:86
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sayan Srour (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
5:95
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 6:94
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
5:95
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Felix Mölck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 6:94
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Schatz (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marc Bluhm (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tobias Rollet (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 55:45
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Goele Nuyts (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 5% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 5% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aditya Rajan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Linus Albat (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Flemming Ketteler (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Clara Labe (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mira Kubiczak (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Burghoff (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 55:45
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Takis Pavlou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
5:95
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 6:94
5:95
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 6:94
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 5% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 5% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Heibrok (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Hauser (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Raphael Notz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tom Griesbach (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
5:95
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tino Mille (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 6:94
5:95
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michał Biernacki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 6:94
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Schuurmans (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 5% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 5% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
5:95
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthias Hagel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 6:94
5:95
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 6:94
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dominik Ixert (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 5% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 5% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeppe Madsen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mawe-Rick Kaiser (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 55:45
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dragos Hartig (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.