Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling: Hamburg 2026 — FaB-Results

Dorinthea Ironsong

Dorinthea Ironsong

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Sebastiaan Knetsch

47th • 8-5-0

69%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

5.3

Surp

3.0

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Thiriet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44

Dash I/O

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Henrik Moilanen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Finn Labe (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 30:70

Dash I/O

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Quest Pittman (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nikolaus Schnelle (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Olympia, Prized Fighter

R8

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Finn Kleine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jan Kučera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Jarl Vetreiði

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

69% (9/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.03
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.13
R3	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.12
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.23
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.74
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.89
R13	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

dropped • 5-2-1

75%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.9

Diff

Kassai of the Golden Sand

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Alexander Gadalla (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 18:82

Betsy, Skin in the Game

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gaël Dorckel (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Dash I/O

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Romain Lambert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Christian Grundmann (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Puffin, Hightail

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jo Jung (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs David Moore (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Michael de Kok (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Arakni, Huntsman

20:80

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Lennart Paga (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	20%	Draw	✗	0.18	-
R2	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.19
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.85
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Jacob Joergensen

dropped • 4-3-1

62%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dennis Werk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hennrik Wittke (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Jarl Vetreiði

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tristan Del Pako (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Dash I/O

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs David Rotter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29

Pleiades, Superstar

R8

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs Rene Specius (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.30
R3	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.65
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.61
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Loss	✓	0.79	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.44
R8	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.3

Diff

Dash I/O

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Simon Wolf (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Max Schönegg (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Dash I/O

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Fai, Rising Rebellion

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Brüssau (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.07
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.91
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.02
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Louis Van Keymeulen

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

Betsy, Skin in the Game

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Fauth (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Dash I/O

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Henrik Ehlers (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tim Bauer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Dash I/O

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Patrick Hauser (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Milosz Sankowski (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 30:70

Puffin, Hightail

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kirill Antropov (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.22
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.68
R5	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.36
R6	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 1-6-0

43%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

Arakni, Huntsman

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lewis Miller (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

Zyggy Starlight

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jonas Larsen (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 31:69

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Pleiades, Superstar

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Rene Specius (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dan Moldovan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jonasemil Schmidt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Aurelien Souchet (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	20%	Win	✗	0.80	0.33
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R7	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21

Dash I/O

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrea Migliavacca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29

Betsy, Skin in the Game

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Diego Paoletti (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lasse Saxer (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Victor Lenoble (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Zyggy Starlight

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.06
R2	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.17
R3	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.16
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Zyggy Starlight	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tim Höpfner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Olympia, Prized Fighter

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Liam Holden (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joscha Amann (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 30:70

Fang, Dracai of Blades

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nastassja Baum (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.32
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.