Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling: Hamburg 2026 — FaB-Results

Dorinthea Ironsong

Dorinthea Ironsong

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Sebastiaan Knetsch

47th • 8-5-0

77%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

5.2

Surp

2.6

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 86:14

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Thiriet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

Dash I/O

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Henrik Moilanen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Finn Labe (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 53:47

Dash I/O

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Quest Pittman (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nikolaus Schnelle (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33

Olympia, Prized Fighter

R8

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Finn Kleine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jan Kučera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

Jarl Vetreiði

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.02
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.16
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.15
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.30
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.31
R8	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.61
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.73
R13	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

dropped • 5-2-1

75%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

Kassai of the Golden Sand

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Alexander Gadalla (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68

Betsy, Skin in the Game

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gaël Dorckel (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Dash I/O

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Romain Lambert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Christian Grundmann (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 80:20

Puffin, Hightail

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jo Jung (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 53:47

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs David Moore (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Michael de Kok (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

Arakni, Huntsman

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Lennart Paga (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Draw	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.25
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.16
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.58
R6	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.70
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Jacob Joergensen

dropped • 4-3-1

75%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

4.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dennis Werk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hennrik Wittke (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 53:47

Jarl Vetreiði

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tristan Del Pako (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

85:15

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

Dash I/O

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs David Rotter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

Pleiades, Superstar

R8

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs Rene Specius (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.37
R3	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.34
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.69
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	85%	Loss	✓	0.86	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.58
R8	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.1

Diff

Dash I/O

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Simon Wolf (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Max Schönegg (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 69:31

Dash I/O

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Fai, Rising Rebellion

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Brüssau (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.09
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.15
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.28
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Louis Van Keymeulen

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

Betsy, Skin in the Game

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Fauth (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

Dash I/O

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Henrik Ehlers (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tim Bauer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Dash I/O

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Patrick Hauser (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Milosz Sankowski (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 53:47

Puffin, Hightail

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kirill Antropov (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.28
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.85
R5	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.47
R6	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

dropped • 1-6-0

57%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

3.6

Surp

0.3

Diff

Arakni, Huntsman

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lewis Miller (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

Zyggy Starlight

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jonas Larsen (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 38:62

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

Pleiades, Superstar

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Rene Specius (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dan Moldovan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jonasemil Schmidt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Aurelien Souchet (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.29
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.3

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 86:14

Dash I/O

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrea Migliavacca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37

Betsy, Skin in the Game

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Diego Paoletti (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lasse Saxer (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 53:47

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Victor Lenoble (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33

Zyggy Starlight

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.04
R2	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.22
R3	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.60
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.49
R6	CC	Zyggy Starlight	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tim Höpfner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

Olympia, Prized Fighter

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Liam Holden (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joscha Amann (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 53:47

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nastassja Baum (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.