Dash I/O at Calling: Hamburg 2026
Dash I/O
25 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 14-2-0
88%
Meta
+4.8
Perf
6.7
Surp
6.5
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Moore (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 80:20
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Finlay Shepherd (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 80:20
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ростислав Морванюк (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mattis Kollek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Linh Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 11: Loss vs Enes Findik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Adam Urban (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Daniel Brockhage (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Enes Findik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
88% (14/16 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.8 Wins (9.2 expected, 14 actual)
Surprise
6.7 total deviation
Difficulty
6.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R16 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
27th • 9-4-0
85%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
6.5
Surp
4.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bino Nolting (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
Round 2: Loss vs Emmi Pelkonen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Nikolaus Schnelle (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Marko Kresse (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sayan Srour (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Samuel Braben (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Rasmus Møller (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Joaquim Torres (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Adam Tuček (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Loss |
32nd • 9-4-0
92%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pascal Flügel (Unknown)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kristian Faber (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 80:20
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gerret Brunke (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Callum Young (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luca Muratori (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Philipp Kuschel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gary White (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Rik Godschalk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 11: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 12: Loss vs Chang Li (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
92% (12/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
37th • 9-4-0
85%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Klas Bergholtz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael de Kok (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Loss vs Chang Li (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Niklas Schulte Osthoff (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Toby Beckham (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Frederik Pedersen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Brockhage (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
42nd • 8-5-0
92%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
6.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Schuurmans (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 80:20
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tobias Pechnig (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kacper Sobieszczuk (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emmi Pelkonen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Frank Pilchowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
Round 9: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matti Salmi (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
92% (12/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
48th • 8-5-0
69%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
6.3
Surp
3.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tristan Del Pako (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Richard Kruithof (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonas Larsen (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Manon Godet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Asger Thomsen Brem (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chang Li (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Manos Apostolakis (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Finn Labe (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Benjamin Buhot (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Philipp Tumczyk (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mikko Salmi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Viet Phuong Ricardo Le (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Declan Macewan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joaquim Torres (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Christopher Bizau (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
Round 11: Loss vs Liam Canning (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (11/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (6.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joakim Fugelli (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thorben Kahnert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Niklas Astner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs André Kofmel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dennis Dalinghaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrei Leucuta (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Flavio Dollani (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Konstantinos Tsolakakis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kacper Sobieszczuk (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joris Verhelst (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kilian Schellekens (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 8: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fabian Gerber (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Malyk Höfle (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Callum Young (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sacha Evrard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Apsalar Johanna Barkemeyer (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yannick Pfeiffer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kristian Faber (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andreas Ritzakis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Philipp Wasielewski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Hauser (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mathias W (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Antonio Briola (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Loss vs Georg Sossnowetz (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Angelo Zaccardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Joergensen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Vollmers (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Win vs Lennart Paga (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Xavier laperrouze (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
88%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Bizau (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonas Müller (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Bauer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Werner Maier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Derek Patterson (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Erwin Becker (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joakim Fugelli (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
75%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Celine Yasseri (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 80:20
Round 3: Loss vs Duc Minh Tran (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ismael Boulbaz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Win vs Diego Rosa (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Paul Döhrer (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Violet FaB (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Callum Young (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luce Guidi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Callum McMurray (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rene Gropp (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maciej Rakowski (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thien Nguyen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Denis Poulin Lacasse (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonas Schneider (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luce Guidi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philipp Tumczyk (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andi Papenfuß (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Toni Schwarze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vitali Sperling (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Loss vs Tim Bierholz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Hiller (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonasemil Schmidt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luke Kuhlmann (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luca Muratori (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Pelka (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Sal (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arnold Baars (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marko Kresse (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Callum McMurray (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Aidan Keown (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Kuhlmann (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Enes Findik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sacha Evrard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.