Kayo, Underhanded Cheat at Calling: Hamburg 2026

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.2

Diff

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tyler-Noel Kopmann (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Frank Pilchowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Giorgos Dailianis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Dash I/O

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Felix Ebert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Philipp Wasielewski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

Olympia, Prized Fighter

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Matti Salmi (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Dash I/O

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.55
R4	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.39
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Win	✗	0.72	1.39
R7	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Fritz Jenicek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Becker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69

Puffin, Hightail

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Linus Albat (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Gadalla (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50

Dash I/O

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

Dash I/O

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Noah Devos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Finn Kleine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.67
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.