Puffin, Hightail at Calling: Hamburg 2026 — FaB-Results

Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Florian Vanbrakel

dropped • 5-3-0

25%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.7

Diff

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tor Vorren (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Finn Kleine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Olympia, Prized Fighter

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Valda, Seismic Impact

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Klitzsch (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 55:45

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75

Jarl Vetreiði

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Shane Steinert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mert Gezgin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Rik Godschalk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.22
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.30
R3	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.44
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.99
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Win	✗	0.75	1.75
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Felix Albertsmeier

dropped • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.0

Diff

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marc Lanigra (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 36:64

Fang, Dracai of Blades

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nikolai Goldmann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Fai, Rising Rebellion

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mara Graß (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Paul Beese (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Erwin Becker (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Puffin, Hightail

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jo Jung (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Oliver Schindler (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.33
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R5	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.93
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.04
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Henrik Moilanen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Fai, Rising Rebellion

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45

Puffin, Hightail

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kirill Antropov (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Pleiades, Superstar

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Dash I/O

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Thien Nguyen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.22
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.19

Kirill Antropov

dropped • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.6

Diff

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alessandro Müller (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mateusz Pachciarz (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 36:64

Puffin, Hightail

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Martynas Norbutas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75

Dorinthea Ironsong

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Maxime Forest (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R2	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.72
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.90
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

dropped • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.5

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Emmi Pelkonen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75

Valda, Seismic Impact

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mauriz Schwenger (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 55:45

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Manuel Köber (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Eliassen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Dash I/O

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Felix Ebert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Betsy, Skin in the Game

R8

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Diego Paoletti (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.43
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.60
R5	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.42
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.04
R8	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 3-5-0

50%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.7

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Eliassen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Arakni, Huntsman

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Julien Erdreich (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nathaniel Payne (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

Zyggy Starlight

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Spencer Baker (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Dorinthea Ironsong

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Christian Sal (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Puffin, Hightail

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Felix Albertsmeier (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Will Melyn (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 36:64

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Derek Patterson (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.75
R4	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R8	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.49

dropped • 3-5-0

50%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.1

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tobias Pechnig (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Antony Butorin (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Thiriet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs theo duvalet (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs David Towsey (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Vollmers (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Will Melyn (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.72
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.09
R6	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R8	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Cedric Leuzinger

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dennis Hahn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Betsy, Skin in the Game

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Diego Paoletti (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marcel Rosenfeld (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 73:27

Jarl Vetreiði

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Marcisz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60

Arakni, Huntsman

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.28
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 1-2-1

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

Olympia, Prized Fighter

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Arthur Nijssen (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lucien Whitman (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Jarl Vetreiði

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sacha Evrard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Alexander Schall

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.2

Diff

Valda, Seismic Impact

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mauriz Schwenger (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 55:45

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Paul Moerler (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thore Ladicke (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Philipp Wasielewski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.22
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.