Betsy, Skin in the Game at Calling: Hamburg 2026
Betsy, Skin in the Game
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
41st • 8-4-1
38%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gaël Dorckel (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noah Greenwood (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 80:20
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Jonas Stoberock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Christopher Bizau (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Vlad Ciobotea (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Frank Pilchowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Draw |
| R8 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nikolai Goldmann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cedric Leuzinger (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Becker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Debling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Noah Dreckmann (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tim Bierholz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
12%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Rotter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Beese (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Clara Labe (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Manos Apostolakis (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Bach (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matias Paulasaari (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler-Noel Kopmann (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christian Pelka (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Julia Happel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jory van de Loo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 8: Loss vs Mauriz Schwenger (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-1
38%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Konstantin Itson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erik Klinger (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ferdinand Wenke (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dennis Dalinghaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ariela Randriamasy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Henry Wiesner (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Callum McMurray (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Draw |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Olivar Rodén (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Quest Pittman (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benedikt Sylvester (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs nino Zimmermann (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Victor Brøcker (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 27:73
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pascal Brüggemann (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
100:0
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christoph Greune (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 100:0
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mathew Davies (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Noah Dreckmann (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 100% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alessandro Sgura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Niels Debosschere (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Alkis Sejati (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Roger Braun (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Draw |
| R3 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Callum McMurray (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthias Hagel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rasmus Møller (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ariela Randriamasy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
100:0
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christoph Greune (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 100:0
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Xavier laperrouze (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael de Kok (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 100% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raul Verdejo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yoshio Hamasaki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christian Sal (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.