Arakni, Huntsman at Calling: Hamburg 2026

Arakni, Huntsman

11 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Adam Tuček

16th • 10-3-0

85%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

5.6

Surp

4.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gary White (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Nikolai Goldmann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mauriz Schwenger (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Noè Giussani (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Asger Thomsen Brem (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Thorben Kahnert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Finn Kleine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Rik Godschalk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.06
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.12
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.17
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.24
R7	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.33
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.39
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.85
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.71
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.70
R13	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Lennart Paga

25th • 9-4-0

77%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

5.7

Surp

3.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alberto Ruiz (Unknown)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Quest Pittman (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

100:0

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Vincent Krenzke (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 100:0

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Noah Dreckmann (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nikolaus Schnelle (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jirka Ilomäki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Christian Sal (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Vlad Ciobotea (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Andreas Albrecht (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Christian Meinzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.13
R3	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	100%	Win	✓	0.00	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.32
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.60
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.26
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.58
R11	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.89
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.08
R13	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Jonas Müller

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rene Specius (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dae-Jin Seon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Paul Döhrer (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

100:0

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs David Chirulescu (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 100:0

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Alessandro Sgura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.17
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.36
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	100%	Win	✓	0.00	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.66
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Jeremy Miller

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Erik Schroedter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Christian Jelle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thien Nguyen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Cedric Leuzinger (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Niklas Astner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.09
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.36
R4	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.28
R6	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Marko Kresse

dropped • 3-4-1

75%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

4.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yannick Pfeiffer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chang Li (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andreas Ritzakis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs David Burghoff (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Olivar Rodén (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jakob Immer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs Yoshio Hamasaki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.09
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.69
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.71
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Draw	✓	0.59	-

Bilel Manai

dropped • 2-4-2

88%

Meta

-2.8

Perf

4.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Felix Mölck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Kevin Zänker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Laura Nielsen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Maxime Forest (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Draw vs Nastassja Baum (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31

85:15

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Joscha Amann (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Lukaszewicz (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.09
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.28
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Draw	✓	0.69	-
R7	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-
R8	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Julien Erdreich

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dominik Popławski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jo Jung (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stefaan Morbee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Buhot (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Matti Salmi (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.15
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.58
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.50
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Diego Rosa

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.3

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Brüssau (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Cédric De smet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Marc Bluhm (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ramon Bernigau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.27
R5	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Christoph Greune

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mark Bisschops (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Koch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54

0:100

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Fauth (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 0:100

0:100

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ricardo Manrique (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 0:100

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.21
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R4	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-

Lewis Miller

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Goele Nuyts (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Valin (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 23:77

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Will Melyn (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 83:17

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jaden De-Arth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R3	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.20
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Enea Zanetta

dropped • 0-3-1

75%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eleonora Turowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Marc Paulsen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Corey Cruickshank (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.