Ira, Scarlet Revenger at Calling: Hamburg 2026
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yegor Borshch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maximilian Schmidt (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 80:20
Round 3: Win vs André Kofmel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 63:37
Round 5: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 80:20
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Steffen Gursinsky (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Adam Tuček (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Flemming Ketteler (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 80:20
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Brockhage (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Arnold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dennis Werk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Loss vs Linus Albat (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Erik Elberfeld (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs nino Zimmermann (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Quinn Aurich (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 80:20
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Erik Schroedter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 7: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thore Ladicke (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dennis Hahn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vitali Sperling (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Manuel Köber (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 80:20
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Florian Kink (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 25:75
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stefan Seeland (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Konstantin Itson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Johannes Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
Round 5: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Jonas Larsen (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 80% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.