Zyggy Starlight at Calling: Hamburg 2026 — FaB-Results

Zyggy Starlight

Zyggy Starlight

18 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

15th • 10-3-0

92%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

5.1

Surp

3.4

Diff

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Betsy, Skin in the Game

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Apsalar Johanna Barkemeyer (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 81:19

Arakni, Marionette

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yegor Borshch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35

Olympia, Prized Fighter

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Dorinthea Ironsong

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 69:31

Arakni, Marionette

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Jarl Vetreiði

80:20

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 81:19

Jarl Vetreiði

80:20

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Luca Muratori (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 81:19

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Mira Kubiczak (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 64:36

Arakni, Huntsman

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Lennart Paga (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

92% (12/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (8.2 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

5.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.13
R3	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.07
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.19
R5	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.24
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.18
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.20
R10	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.53
R12	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.60
R13	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.17

23rd • 9-4-0

92%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

6.3

Surp

3.7

Diff

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alessandro Sgura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Arakni, Marionette

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Betsy, Skin in the Game

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Apsalar Johanna Barkemeyer (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 81:19

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kevin Becker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Vlad Ciobotea (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Dash I/O

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Manos Apostolakis (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 64:36

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Linh Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Olympia, Prized Fighter

R13

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

92% (12/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.13
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.09
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.56
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.40
R7	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R9	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.59
R10	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.50
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.79
R13	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

52nd • 8-5-0

54%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

6.1

Surp

4.6

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kiran Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35

Fang, Dracai of Blades

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Czermin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bernd Nielsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Vincent Schreiber (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Dash I/O

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45

Kassai of the Golden Sand

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Buhot (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71

Dash I/O

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Andrea Migliavacca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Frank Pilchowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Toby Beckham (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Aditya Rajan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Dash I/O

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

54% (7/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.05
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.46
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.27
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.33
R6	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.40
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R8	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.53
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.22
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.34
R13	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Andreas Albrecht

dropped • 7-5-0

50%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

Olympia, Prized Fighter

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Arakni, Marionette

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Max Schmidt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Kassai of the Golden Sand

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Paolo D’Innocenzo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Mateusz Pachciarz (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 64:36

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

Arakni, Marionette

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35

Arakni, Marionette

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

Arakni, Huntsman

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Lennart Paga (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

50% (6/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.24
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.16
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R6	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.33
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.41
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.47
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R11	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Niklas Schulte Osthoff

dropped • 6-4-0

60%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.9

Diff

Bravo, Showstopper

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joshua Hiller (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35

Zyggy Starlight

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Paolo D’Innocenzo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Florian Grabenstein (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50

Dash I/O

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Ryan Debling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

R9

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Christian Meinzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

60% (6/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.12
R3	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.30
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R6	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.01
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R9	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.90
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Ruben Van Dessel

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.5

Diff

Valda, Seismic Impact

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kevin Gehringer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Fabian Klucke (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

Zyggy Starlight

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Niklas Astner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Aditya Rajan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

Fang, Dracai of Blades

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Maximilian Czermin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Florian Kink (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 64:36

Arakni, Marionette

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mateusz Wamser (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.44
R3	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.49
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.54
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.86

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.7

Diff

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Will Melyn (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 64:36

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dennis Dalinghaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Zyggy Starlight

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Niklas Schulte Osthoff (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ariela Randriamasy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Danny Halstad (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Noè Giussani (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 20:80

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Erik Schroedter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Arakni, Marionette

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Flavio Dollani (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.08
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.21
R3	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Win	✗	0.75	1.00
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.75
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ростислав Морванюк (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

Arakni, Marionette

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sayan Srour (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35

Zyggy Starlight

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ruben Van Dessel (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Brockhage (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Asger Thomsen Brem (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Arakni, Huntsman

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

Dash I/O

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Andrea Migliavacca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.25
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.16
R3	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.88
R7	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

dropped • 2-6-0

62%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.5

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Kassai of the Golden Sand

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alwart Nijveld (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Puffin, Hightail

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jo Jung (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Celine Yasseri (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 36:64

Jarl Vetreiði

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Dariusz Chrapek (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 81:19

Fang, Dracai of Blades

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nastassja Baum (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Manuel Köber (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.32
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.22
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

dropped • 1-6-1

62%

Meta

-3.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joscha Amann (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

Jarl Vetreiði

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs David Burghoff (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 81:19

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 20:80

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alessandro Müller (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

Valda, Seismic Impact

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Rico Angermeier (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Manuel Köber (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

Arakni, Marionette

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Andrei Lazar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Draw	✓	0.81	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.2

Diff

Jarl Vetreiði

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Leo Dancette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 81:19

Dorinthea Ironsong

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Goele Nuyts (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 69:31

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

Dash I/O

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Frederik Pedersen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45

Arakni, Marionette

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Joaquim Torres (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ludwig Baumann (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.04
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.15
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	20%	Win	✗	0.80	1.99
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Flemming Ketteler

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs theo duvalet (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 20:80

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Francesco D'Amendola (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Antony Butorin (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mark Duro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Jarl Vetreiði

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Dariusz Chrapek (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 81:19

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Thomas Valin (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.57
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.25
R6	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Maximilian Schmidt

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Krenzke (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 36:64

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Noè Giussani (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 20:80

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Erik Elberfeld (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 64:36

Bravo, Showstopper

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Joshua Hiller (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.39
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marcel Kügler (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tim Höpfner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Elliot Bessède (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

Dash I/O

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Romain Lambert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tyler-Noel Kopmann (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.69
R5	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Flavio Dollani (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dan Moldovan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Betsy, Skin in the Game

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Antony Butorin (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R3	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	80%	Loss	✓	0.81	-
R4	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.1

Diff

Jarl Vetreiði

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shane Steinert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 81:19

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Dash I/O

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45

Uzuri, Switchblade

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kin Yen Lee (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.07
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Simone Paterniti

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 36:64

Kassai of the Golden Sand

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs André Kofmel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71

Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Fabian Gerber (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Fabian Klucke (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Victor Brøcker

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.1

Diff

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Florian Grabenstein (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50

Betsy, Skin in the Game

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ricardo Manrique (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 81:19

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mathis Reteuna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.15
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.