Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Calling: Hamburg 2026
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Urban (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ludwig Baumann (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andrei Leucuta (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aidan Keown (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Worrall (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 22:78
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bernd Nielsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alessandro Müller (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Lukaszewicz (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Andreas Reling (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Pascal Brüggemann (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Diana Triebnig (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Crone (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sayan Srour (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Fabian Falk (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Christian Bach (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thore Ladicke (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Round 3: Win vs Max Schönegg (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jaden De-Arth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ramon Bernigau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Rene Gropp (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leonel Samayoa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shane Steinert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Lindenstrauß (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jakob Immer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Held (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrei Lazar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Luce Guidi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler-Noel Kopmann (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Kaiser (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dennis Hahn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Goele Nuyts (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Round 7: Win vs Markus Heimbeck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Marc Bluhm (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Codrin Ion (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Arnold Baars (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Manos Apostolakis (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs André Kofmel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Markus Heimbeck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luce Guidi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ismael Boulbaz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Oliver Schindler (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oliver Schindler (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paolo D’Innocenzo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Win vs Florian Kink (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Brüssau (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Drees Giebel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kacper Sobieszczuk (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alan Petit (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Toby Beckham (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs Andreas Reling (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Asger Thomsen Brem (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shane Steinert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christoph Korzeniewski (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cato DIrdal (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christer Carlsson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stefan Seeland (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mark Bisschops (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marko Kresse (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thorben Kahnert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Thiriet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mattis Kollek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Sauer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marcus Räthe (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kirill Antropov (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kin Yen Lee (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Grundmann (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 39:61
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Quinn Aurich (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Simon Wagner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christian Bach (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Meinzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Vioni (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Vioni (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mathias W (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 35:65
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Erik Klinger (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tom Griesbach (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Bisschops (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Roger Braun (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Enea Zanetta (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Julia Happel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gerret Brunke (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michel Westermann (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Rico Angermeier (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mathias Schmidt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Michel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Round 3: Win vs Konstantinos Tsolakakis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
0%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Ove Hasselhorst (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Felix Lutzke (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 35% | Draw |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.