Fai, Rising Rebellion

Fai, Rising Rebellion

11 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

66th 6-7-0
46%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
6.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
Pleiades, Superstar
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Corey Cruickshank (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Dash I/O
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Jarl Vetreiði
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alan Petit (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Henrik Moilanen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Jarl Vetreiði
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thorben Kahnert (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Aditya Rajan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sherish Chowhari (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51
Jarl Vetreiði
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Liam Canning (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
dropped 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.5
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Diego Rosa (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs david deom (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Dash I/O
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Dorinthea Ironsong
!
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
!!
90:10
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Manos Apostolakis (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 89:11, favorite upset
dropped 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.6
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Greenwood (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Will Melyn (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 89:11
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonas Müller (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Vioni (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51
Dash I/O
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ramon Bernigau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yoshio Hamasaki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Manon Godet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
dropped 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Diana Triebnig (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Linh Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Valin (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 54:46
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Arnold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kristian Faber (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Gadalla (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gary White (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
dropped 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Schreiber (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
Betsy, Skin in the Game
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Boris Melnykov (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Juho Hälli (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ростислав Морванюк (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Xavier laperrouze (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christoph Korzeniewski (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
dropped 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Brockhage (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
Puffin, Hightail
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 53:47
Olympia, Prized Fighter
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Markus Heimbeck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mathias Schmidt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yoshio Hamasaki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joaquim Torres (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51
dropped 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nikolaus Schnelle (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andi Papenfuß (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Duro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Felix Mölck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Betsy, Skin in the Game
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nino Chimenti (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
Katsu, the Wanderer
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tam Nguyen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 35:65
dropped 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Tydecks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Gadalla (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Smith (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 70:30
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Leonel Samayoa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
dropped 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rene Hentschel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
Jarl Vetreiði
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alan Petit (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Jarl Vetreiði
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christian Pelka (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thore Ladicke (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Leonel Samayoa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
dropped 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benoit Diard (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
dropped 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Sauer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mario Trosien (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Puffin, Hightail
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Felix Albertsmeier (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 53:47

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.