Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Hamburg 2026

Fai, Rising Rebellion
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 90% | Loss |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Performance Metrics
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.