Pleiades, Superstar at Calling: Hamburg 2026

Pleiades, Superstar

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Rene Specius

dropped • 4-2-2

75%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jonas Müller (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 28:72

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Goele Nuyts (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 28:72

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Corey Cruickshank (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Leo Dancette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs Jacob Joergensen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Draw	✗	0.28	-
R6	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

Corey Cruickshank

dropped • 2-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mikko Salmi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Asger Thomsen Brem (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Enea Zanetta (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dennis Hahn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Rene Specius (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jurij Di Carlo

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Georg Sossnowetz (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sacha Evrard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Benoit Diard (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.