Aurora, Legacy of Tempest at Calling: Hamburg 2026
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-5-0
10%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrei Lazar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Werner Maier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Melvin Lemke-Detlefsen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Erik Schroedter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Michel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Mateusz Pachciarz (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
10% (1/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hennrik Wittke (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Schatz (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michał Biernacki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cédric De smet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Linus Albat (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Liam Canning (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nikolai Goldmann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Erik Elberfeld (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 20:80
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mathias Schmidt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andreas Ritzakis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Win vs Daan Heister (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ramon Bernigau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 20:80
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Erik Schroedter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs cory macewan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Spencer Baker (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jonas Hentrop (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 20:80
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Duro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rene Gropp (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jirka Ilomäki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 17:83
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Oliver Schindler (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christian Sal (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tommaso Fabbri (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 55:45
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mara Graß (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Henderson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Win vs Christian Jelle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Schmidt (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Eliassen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Liam Canning (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
0:100
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lennart Paga (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 0:100
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Callum Young (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Violet FaB (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 0% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simone Paterniti (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 75:25
Round 2: Win vs Julia Happel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Buhot (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73
0:100
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonas Müller (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 0:100
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 0% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Buhot (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Dash I/O) - Expected: 20:80
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Callum McMurray (Dash I/O) - Expected: 20:80
Round 4: Win vs Tim Schneegans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs shao qi Chen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 40:60
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dennis Hahn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Declan Macewan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maciej Rakowski (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Takis Pavlou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 20:80
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lasse Saxer (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 40:60
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Adler (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.