Sunday Showdown: Minneapolis 2026 - Dromai (SAGE)

Dromai

32 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Luke Manship

3rd • 10-1-0

45%

Meta

+3.9

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.7

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Kheng Joe Lau (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

90:10

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Zak Miller (Enigma) - Expected: 90:10

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Oldhim) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ed Bracamontes (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Oldhim) - Expected: 45:55

90:10

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Josef Mendez (Enigma) - Expected: 90:10

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Oldhim) - Expected: 45:55

90:10

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Josef Mendez (Enigma) - Expected: 90:10

15:85

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Zachary Suchomel (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

45% (5/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	90%	Win	✓	0.10	0.04
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.42
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.51
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.55
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.73
R8	Silver Age	Enigma	90%	Win	✓	0.10	0.11
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.94
R10	Silver Age	Enigma	90%	Win	✓	0.10	0.14
R11	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Ed Bracamontes

13th • 7-2-0

67%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

4.2

Surp

4.0

Diff

90:10

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Leo Shea (Enigma) - Expected: 90:10

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Dylan Ehalt (Zyggy) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Corwin Benton (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Drew Bosco (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jacob Neet (Oscilio) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Luke Manship (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Seth Clark (Oscilio) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	90%	Win	✓	0.10	0.02
R2	Silver Age	Zyggy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.36
R5	Silver Age	Oscilio	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R9	Silver Age	Oscilio	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.49

Austin Redington

17th • 7-2-0

56%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Garrett Hodsdon (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Kamron Van Hulzen (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Marshel Halliday (Fai) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Erick Boeder (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Braxton Palmer (Oldhim) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oldhim) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Anthony Bugoci (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.18
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.35
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.76
R7	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R9	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Luke Shinn

24th • 7-2-0

44%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.6

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs gabriel stallings (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Emery Powell (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

90:10

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Harris (Enigma) - Expected: 90:10

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Phillip Spader (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Dante Irvine (Oscilio) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

0:100

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Joseph Elsey (Rhinar) - Expected: 0:100

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Suryan Bhatia (Oscilio) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Casey Knepley (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	90%	Win	✓	0.10	0.05
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Oscilio	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Rhinar	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R7	Silver Age	Oscilio	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.16
R8	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.00
R9	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

Anthony Bugoci

28th • 6-3-0

44%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

4.6

Surp

2.6

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Brock (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Korner (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Zach Donahue (Fai) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Suryan Bhatia (Oscilio) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Casey Schaffer (Oscilio) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jacob Neet (Oscilio) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

90:10

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Noah Fogle (Enigma) - Expected: 90:10

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Austin Redington (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	15%	Win	✗	0.83	0.28
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R4	Silver Age	Oscilio	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.66
R5	Silver Age	Oscilio	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	Silver Age	Oscilio	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	Silver Age	Enigma	90%	Win	✓	0.10	0.14
R9	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Fisher Johnson

35th • 6-3-0

56%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.9

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs George Mistkawi (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Manoj Malipeddu (Oldhim) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Dylan Tucker (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oldhim) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Austin Ryan (Oldhim) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Matthew W (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Casey Knepley (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Lexi) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.64
R6	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.72
R9	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bryan Barger

57th • 5-4-0

56%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.7

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs John McGovern (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Dwayne Warren (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Dominick Wolfgang (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 17:83

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jared Warden (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Taotao Chu (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Tyler Tungate (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Michael Lau (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Oscilio) - Expected: 35:65

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Mel Falcon (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R4	Silver Age	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.84
R7	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.63
R8	Silver Age	Oscilio	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R9	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Bird Cabrera

64th • 5-4-0

56%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.2

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Kevin Fontan (Dash) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Oldhim) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Fai) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Max Escaler (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Sophie Becker (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Dash) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Quest Pittman (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.54
R7	Silver Age	Dash	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.51
R8	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R9	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

William Wai Leem Au Yong

70th • 4-5-0

56%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Dakota Sisk (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs May Hayden (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Seth Clark (Oscilio) - Expected: 35:65

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Arnold (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jack Jarvis (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Eric Lin (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Heger (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs James Potter (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Dash) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Silver Age	Oscilio	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.63
R6	Silver Age	Dash, Database	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R9	Silver Age	Dash	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Doug Frauman

dropped • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs ANDREW WEBBER (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs marcellus hunter (Fai) - Expected: 58:42

90:10

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kenny Tran (Enigma) - Expected: 90:10

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Oscilio) - Expected: 35:65

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Xavier Byrne (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Garrett Hodsdon (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Michael Corrigan (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Wesley Osorio (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	90%	Win	✓	0.10	0.06
R4	Silver Age	Oscilio	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

Erick Boeder

dropped • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Hasan Abdali (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Austin Ryan (Oldhim) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Weatherholtz (Oldhim) - Expected: 45:55

90:10

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Enigma) - Expected: 90:10

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Austin Redington (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Moiz Hasan (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Goldberger (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jay Maillet (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	90%	Win	✓	0.10	0.08
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Randall Robinson

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jaydon Loar (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

90:10

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Enigma) - Expected: 90:10

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Mel Falcon (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs James Wray (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

0:100

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Dylan Vanpatten (Rhinar) - Expected: 0:100

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Fontan (Dash) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	90%	Win	✓	0.10	0.04
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.46
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Silver Age	Rhinar	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R7	Silver Age	Dash	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Alex Tyler

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Cole Torres (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Florian) - Expected: 83:17

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Oscilio) - Expected: 35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Sherwood (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

20:80

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 22:78

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Clair (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Florian	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.09
R3	Silver Age	Oscilio	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Dario Benitez

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Mel Falcon (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Bryce Douglas (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Chandler Bushnell (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jean Paul Negron (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.54
R5	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Carter Wenz

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.1

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Isaac Davison (Florian) - Expected: 83:17

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oldhim) - Expected: 45:55

0:100

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Rhinar) - Expected: 0:100

90:10

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Kenny Tran (Enigma) - Expected: 90:10

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Fontan (Dash) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Hakan Gunes (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.04
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	90%	Win	✓	0.10	0.10
R5	Silver Age	Dash	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Corwin Benton

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Justin Fan (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Zack Phillips (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Chandler To (Oscilio) - Expected: 35:65

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Arnold (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jaydon Loar (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.19
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.38
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Oscilio	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Garrett Hodsdon

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Austin Redington (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Devin Simms (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Nancy Lampert (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Newberry (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

20:80

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Doug Frauman (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	20%	Win	✗	0.78	1.81
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nicholas Tran

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Natasha Yocum (Lexi) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Leia Asp (Fai) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Dain Ramirez (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Devin Simms (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Casullo (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.32
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.68
R4	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Eric Horton

dropped • 2-2-1

60%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Draw vs John Houder (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 17:83

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Albert Irvine (Oscilio) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Casey Knepley (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Zyggy) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Goldberger (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	15%	Draw	✗	0.17	-
R2	Silver Age	Oscilio	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.60
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Silver Age	Zyggy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Cooper Templeton

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Mason Williams (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Brandon Green (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Richard Truong (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Paul White

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Cole Branson (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Josh Hill (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Cody Santo (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Johnathan Esquivel (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Cole Torres

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Michaud (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs John Houder (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 17:83

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Aron Johnson (Florian) - Expected: 83:17

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.26

Tim Wong

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Eric Norris (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs sean Burke (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Xavier Byrne (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R3	Silver Age	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Brandon Green

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Colin Topper (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Cooper Templeton (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.42
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Emily Lampert

dropped • 1-2-0

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.4

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Devin Vincent (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs ANDREW WEBBER (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

20:80

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.42
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Jacob Holderbaugh

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Shawn Adams (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Grant Kern (Dash) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.38
R2	Silver Age	Dash	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Jonathan Pickens

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ty Murray (Lexi) - Expected: 50:50

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tristan Del Pako (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 17:83

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Rotondi (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Josh Hill

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Brandon Sandburg (Lexi) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Paul White (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Cruz (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Zach Johnson

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Noah Pearson (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Will Joseph (Oldhim) - Expected: 45:55

20:80

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Steven O'Reilly (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Stephan Giambi

dropped • 1-1-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Feeney (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Suryan Bhatia (Oscilio) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (0.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R2	Silver Age	Oscilio	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Jonathan H

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.2

Perf

0.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

20:80

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 22:78

0:100

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Rhinar) - Expected: 0:100

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (0.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	Silver Age	Rhinar	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-

Justin Rim

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

90:10

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Enigma) - Expected: 90:10, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	90%	Loss	✓	0.90	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.