Azalea at Sunday Showdown: Minneapolis 2026

Azalea

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alexander Goldberger

42nd • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Austin "Ozz" Barta (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Tommy Hendricks (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Diana Green (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Eric Horton (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Erick Boeder (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jeremiah Gardner (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Richard Truong (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jade Williams

dropped • 1-0-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Armando Aguilar (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Joseph Dietrich

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Ehalt (Zyggy) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Zyggy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.