Sunday Showdown: Minneapolis 2026 - Nuu (SAGE)

Nuu

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jaydon Loar

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Lalo (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Quest Pittman (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Katherine Black (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Colin Topper (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Corwin Benton (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Taotao Chu

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jared Warden (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Bray (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Howard Brody (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Stew Fraser (Boltyn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Bryan Barger (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Boltyn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Austin "Ozz" Barta

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Goldberger (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.