Chane at Sunday Showdown: Minneapolis 2026

Chane

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Raj Giri

44th • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tyler Danielewicz (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Steven O'Reilly (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Alexander Perekhov-Lef (Briar) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Moiz Hasan (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Mel Falcon (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Briar) - Expected: 29:71

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Austin Ryan (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Quest Pittman (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Alexander Vore (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Verdance	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Mara Faris

71st • 4-5-0

78%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.9

Surp

3.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alan Meckler (Briar) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Colin Topper (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Kenneth Stojevich (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Katherine Black (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Matt Schubert (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

30:70

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jack Jarvis (Briar) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.61
R9	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jude Cornett

dropped • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Logan Petersen (Briar) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Anthony Pham (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Briar) - Expected: 29:71

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Briar) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.72
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

sean Burke

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Natalie Birch (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Brandon Sandburg (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Tim Wong (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Riley Lont (Briar) - Expected: 29:71

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs James Potter (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

George Mistkawi

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Fisher Johnson (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

John Miranda

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.3

Perf

0.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Briar) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (0.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Kyle Randolph

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Gavin Myre (Boltyn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Boltyn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.