Sunday Showdown: Minneapolis 2026 - Dash (SAGE)

Dash

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Connor Bryant

26th • 6-3-0

67%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Maggert (Boltyn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Iyslander) - Expected: 60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Leo Shea (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Tommy Hendricks (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Sam Coons (Briar) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

80:20

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Mel Falcon (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 82:18

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Carlos Cruz (Briar) - Expected: 39:61

0:100

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Will Joseph (Oldhim) - Expected: 0:100

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Boltyn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.25
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.90
R7	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.23
R8	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-

Grant Kern

29th • 6-3-0

33%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.9

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Emerson Miller (Briar) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Holderbaugh (Dromai) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

80:20

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Bray (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 82:18

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Mark Taylor (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

0:100

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oldhim) - Expected: 0:100

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

0:100

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Oldhim) - Expected: 0:100

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs June Lekstutis (Briar) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Casullo (Briar) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.15
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.32
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.10
R4	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R6	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.20
R9	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Joshua Lau

43rd • 6-3-0

56%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.3

Diff

80:20

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Michael Lau (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 82:18

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Zak Miller (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tony Stobbe (Briar) - Expected: 39:61

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Chubbs Irons (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Dylan Arnold (Briar) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Luis Maderas (Briar) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Briar) - Expected: 39:61

80:20

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Michael Collins-Dowden (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 82:18

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.03
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.90
R7	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.05
R8	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R9	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.29

Kyle McKeough

69th • 4-5-0

56%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jay Maillet (Briar) - Expected: 39:61

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Tyler Shymko (Briar) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Noah Fogle (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Adam Nieves Santiago (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Kheng Joe Lau (Iyslander) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Dromai) - Expected: 36:64

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Stew Fraser (Boltyn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs William Wai Leem Au Yong (Dromai) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.45
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.49
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R8	Silver Age	Boltyn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Silver Age	Dromai	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Kevin Fontan

dropped • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.6

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Dromai) - Expected: 36:64

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Geoffrey Hunt (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Noah Fogle (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Sophie Becker (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 82:18

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Carter Wenz (Dromai) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

0:100

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Randy Davis (Oldhim) - Expected: 0:100

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Randall Robinson (Dromai) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Briar) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.14
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.91
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.28
R8	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Benjamin Cumming

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Iyslander) - Expected: 60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Taylor (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Nick Gabler (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Kenneth Thomas

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Xavier Byrne (Briar) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Zoe Daniels

dropped • 1-0-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tayler Adolphson (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jordan Van Tatenhove

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

80:20

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Johnathan Esquivel (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	80%	Loss	✓	0.82	-

Tanner Lee

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

0.0

Perf

0.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

0:100

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Will Joseph (Oldhim) - Expected: 0:100

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (0.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.