Iyslander at Calling: London 2026

Iyslander

23 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Tommaso Viscido

56th • 9-5-0

86%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

6.7

Surp

3.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Bart de Jong (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Aidan Bates (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs George Rodger (Fai) - Expected: 39:61

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Michel Westermann (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs James Goode-Hamy (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Bernardo José Alves (Briar) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Fai) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Lukasz Ziemba (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 53:47

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Tim Edwards (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Christopher Richter (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 53:47

R11

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

65:35

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs arthur conot (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Win vs Theo Maggs (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

R14

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (12/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R5	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.22
R6	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.68
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.52
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R10	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.53
R13	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.57
R14	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Finlay Shepherd

dropped • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.9

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Dylan Hammouti (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Keir Sweeney (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 53:47

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Heimbeck (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Haroldas Stravinskas (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Andrew Irvine (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Lars Seebacher (Fai) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.34
R6	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.41
R7	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.06
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.81
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Jacob Trossing

dropped • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Knapp (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Adam Hove (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Seb Ball (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.20
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.56
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.41
R7	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.61

John Zapata

dropped • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Grosset (Oldhim) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Spencer Baker (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Rasmus Møller (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Tom Barnaby-Pass (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Karl Naylor (Fai) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Greg Nichols (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Max Escaler (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.20
R4	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.50
R6	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.41
R7	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.06
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.61

Daniel Papež

dropped • 5-4-0

78%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.7

Surp

3.2

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Bader Altayyar (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ryan McVean (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Strother (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Patryk Gułaś (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Peter Stürmer (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Karolis Kriauciunas (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Briar) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Gary White (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Corie Mcgowan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.26

Declan Macewan

dropped • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.2

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Rob Thoen (Oldhim) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Hugo Croizet (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Briar) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Adam Iles (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Marc Bonnet (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Ethan Cheyney (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Kano) - Expected: 50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Timothy Worrall (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.70
R6	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.41
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alexandre MENAGE

dropped • 2-6-1

89%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Fai) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Connop (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Briar) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander King (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Draw vs Sebastien Lebaillif (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ali Ashkanany (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Luca Greenspan (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Quest Pittman (Kano) - Expected: 50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Price (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Maxx Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Rafa Lopez Martinez

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Anatoly Mukhin (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 53:47

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Rokas Pocius (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Knapp (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Christopher Clark (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Giani Gabriel Dinu (Briar) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.46
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Georg Sossnowetz

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Laura Nielsen (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs James Muir (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jack Raven (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 53:47

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Milan Pěkný (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.26
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sergio Martínez ibañez

dropped • 2-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Oldhim) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs George Douglas (Kano) - Expected: 50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Richard Lythe ()

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Adrian Isaac (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Unwin (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Michael de Kok

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tadej Krmac (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Filipe Coutinho (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Konrad Paziewski (Fai) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Mathew Davies (Briar) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Fai) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.68
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Benjamin Schultz

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Damien Bouché (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Leonardo Poppa (Briar) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Briar) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Cheyney (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Fai) - Expected: 39:61

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Gaumard (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joshua Connop

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Christian Jelle (Oldhim) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alexandre MENAGE (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Andrew Pattenden (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Harry McAlpine (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Ali Ashkanany

dropped • 0-6-0

100%

Meta

-3.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Andres Sandoval Mendez (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 53:47

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Robert Mueller (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs anthony blakeman (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jack Schwab (Briar) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Alexandre MENAGE (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Christopher Clark

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Lovelace (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Max Karstenberg (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Anatoly Mukhin (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 53:47

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Mantas Navickas (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Rafa Lopez Martinez (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Konrad Weiss

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Toby Beckham (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Rowan Webb (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Conor Rourke (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kano) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Miroslav Mojik (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.91

Damian Rusin

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Florian Anger (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Mullings (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Phil richards (Fai) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Jeppe Madsen

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jose Alves (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Tuček (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Harry McAlpine (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Sebastian Sommer

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.7

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Iles (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Oldhim) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Robert Robinson (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Red Itärinne (Fai) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.68
R4	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Rhyce Clark

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kwun Chan ()

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Austin De Young (Oldhim) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Rodrigo Iñiguez (Briar) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.58
R3	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Chris Willis

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Edward Catling (Briar) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Maxime Forest (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Emel Walsh

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Fai) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Marko Antonic (Oldhim) - Expected: 55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Damien Bouché

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Schultz (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.