Iyslander at Calling: London 2026

Iyslander

23 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Tommaso Viscido

56th • 9-5-0

71%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

6.1

Surp

3.4

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Bart de Jong (Terra) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Aidan Bates (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs George Rodger (Fai) - Expected: 36:64

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Michel Westermann (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs James Goode-Hamy (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Bernardo José Alves (Briar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Fai) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Lukasz Ziemba (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Tim Edwards (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Christopher Richter (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

25:75

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Rhinar) - Expected: 27:73

65:35

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs arthur conot (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Win vs Theo Maggs (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

30:70

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Vynnset) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

71% (10/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Terra	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.06
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.11
R3	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R5	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.23
R6	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.73
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.36
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.49
R10	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R11	Silver Age	Rhinar	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R12	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.55
R13	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.59
R14	Silver Age	Vynnset	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Finlay Shepherd

dropped • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.7

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Dylan Hammouti (Dromai) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Keir Sweeney (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Heimbeck (Enigma) - Expected: 16:84

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Haroldas Stravinskas (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Andrew Irvine (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Lars Seebacher (Fai) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.36
R6	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.43
R7	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.14
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.57
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Jacob Trossing

dropped • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Knapp (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Adam Hove (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Lexi) - Expected: 23:77

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Seb Ball (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

25:75

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Rhinar) - Expected: 27:73

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.21
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.47
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.43
R7	Silver Age	Rhinar	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R8	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.64

John Zapata

dropped • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.9

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Grosset (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Spencer Baker (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Rasmus Møller (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Tom Barnaby-Pass (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Karl Naylor (Fai) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Greg Nichols (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Max Escaler (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.21
R4	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.35
R6	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.43
R7	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.14
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R9	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.64

Daniel Papež

dropped • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.7

Surp

3.9

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Bader Altayyar (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ryan McVean (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

25:75

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Strother (Rhinar) - Expected: 27:73

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Patryk Gułaś (Enigma) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory

75:25

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Peter Stürmer (Florian) - Expected: 76:24

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Karolis Kriauciunas (Rhinar) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Briar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Gary White (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Corie Mcgowan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	15%	Win	✗	0.84	1.18
R5	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.22
R6	Silver Age	Rhinar	25%	Win	✗	0.73	1.27
R7	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Declan Macewan

dropped • 5-4-0

56%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Rob Thoen (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Hugo Croizet (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Briar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Adam Iles (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Marc Bonnet (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Ethan Cheyney (Enigma) - Expected: 16:84

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Kano) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Timothy Worrall (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.58
R6	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.43
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.01
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Alexandre MENAGE

dropped • 2-6-1

56%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Fai) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Connop (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Briar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander King (Vynnset) - Expected: 31:69

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Draw vs Sebastien Lebaillif (Enigma) - Expected: 16:84

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ali Ashkanany (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Luca Greenspan (Dash) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Quest Pittman (Kano) - Expected: 45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Price (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	15%	Draw	✗	0.16	-
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.73
R8	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R9	Silver Age	Maxx Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Rafa Lopez Martinez

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.7

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Anatoly Mukhin (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Dorinthea) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Rokas Pocius (Azalea) - Expected: 45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Knapp (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Christopher Clark (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Giani Gabriel Dinu (Briar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Silver Age	Azalea	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.48
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Georg Sossnowetz

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.9

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Laura Nielsen (Lexi) - Expected: 23:77

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs James Muir (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Dorinthea) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jack Raven (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Milan Pěkný (Enigma) - Expected: 16:84

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.27
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.71
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R6	Silver Age	Rhinar	25%	Win	✗	0.73	1.63
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-

Sergio Martínez ibañez

dropped • 2-5-0

86%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Terra) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs George Douglas (Kano) - Expected: 45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Richard Lythe ()

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Adrian Isaac (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Unwin (Dromai) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Terra	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.49
R4	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Michael de Kok

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tadej Krmac (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Filipe Coutinho (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Konrad Paziewski (Fai) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Mathew Davies (Briar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Fai) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.21
R3	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.73
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Benjamin Schultz

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Damien Bouché (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Leonardo Poppa (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Briar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Cheyney (Enigma) - Expected: 16:84

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Fai) - Expected: 36:64

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Gaumard (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.21
R3	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joshua Connop

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Christian Jelle (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alexandre MENAGE (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Vynnset) - Expected: 31:69

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Andrew Pattenden (Azalea) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Harry McAlpine (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	Silver Age	Azalea	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.95
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Ali Ashkanany

dropped • 0-6-0

67%

Meta

-3.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Andres Sandoval Mendez (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

25:75

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Robert Mueller (Rhinar) - Expected: 27:73

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs anthony blakeman (Azalea) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jack Schwab (Briar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Alexandre MENAGE (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Christopher Clark

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.1

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Lovelace (Vynnset) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Max Karstenberg (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Anatoly Mukhin (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Mantas Navickas (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Rafa Lopez Martinez (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.34
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Konrad Weiss

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Toby Beckham (Rhinar) - Expected: 27:73

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Rowan Webb (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Conor Rourke (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kano) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Miroslav Mojik (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.64

Damian Rusin

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.5

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Florian Anger (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

25:75

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Mullings (Lexi) - Expected: 23:77

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Phil richards (Fai) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Jeppe Madsen

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.4

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jose Alves (Vynnset) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Tuček (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Harry McAlpine (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.42
R2	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Sebastian Sommer

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Iles (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Robert Robinson (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Red Itärinne (Fai) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.48
R4	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Rhyce Clark

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kwun Chan ()

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Austin De Young (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Rodrigo Iñiguez (Briar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.56
R3	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Chris Willis

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Edward Catling (Briar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Maxime Forest (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Emel Walsh

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Fai) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Marko Antonic (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Damien Bouché

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Schultz (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.