Kano at Calling: London 2026

Kano

24 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Warre Sevens

10th • 11-3-0

86%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

6.0

Surp

4.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ross Chapman (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Frazer Eastman (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Laurens Van der Beek (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

90:10

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Lewis Miller (Oldhim) - Expected: 88:12

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Lewis Foulkes (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Luis Toeffels (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Niels Debosschere (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

70:30

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Fai) - Expected: 48:52

R14

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Win vs Robin Wagner (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (12/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (8.0 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.17
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.18
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.08
R7	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.44
R9	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R11	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.41
R12	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.45
R13	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R14	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Tim McCarthy

25th • 10-4-0

71%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

6.7

Surp

4.9

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Pattenden (Azalea) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Brecht Van Reusel (Fai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Declan Macewan (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs René Schep (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Alejandro López Lao (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Fai) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Mathew Davies (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

R10

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R11

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Giacomo Mosca (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

40:60

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Win vs Viet Pham (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Enigma) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

71% (10/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Silver Age	Azalea	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.16
R3	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.23
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R5	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.28
R6	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R7	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R9	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.50
R10	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.79
R12	Silver Age	Enigma	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.18
R13	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.57
R14	Silver Age	Enigma	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

VALENTIN MARIGNAC

33rd • 10-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

5.2

Surp

2.1

Diff

90:10

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Kit Valentine (Oldhim) - Expected: 88:12

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Noah Greenwood (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Lucas Dutailly (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

90:10

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Oldhim) - Expected: 88:12

90:10

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Machi C (Oldhim) - Expected: 88:12

70:30

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Keir Sweeney (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 70:30

90:10

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Oldhim) - Expected: 88:12

R10

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Jose Alves (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

70:30

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

65:35

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Viet Pham (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

90:10

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Oldhim) - Expected: 88:12

60:40

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Win vs Tadej Krmac (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (14/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (9.7 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.01
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R3	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.21
R4	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.22
R5	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.08
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.09
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.30
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.12
R10	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R12	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R13	Silver Age	Oldhim	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.17
R14	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.77

Liam Canning

41st • 10-4-0

86%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

6.3

Surp

3.9

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Brandon Turner (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Lorenz Krassnig (Fai) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Azalea) - Expected: 45:55

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Oli Cornish (Lexi) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Isaac Murray (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Bernardo José Alves (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

R10

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Adam Urban (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

70:30

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Stephen Manning (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 70:30

90:10

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Julien Desuter (Oldhim) - Expected: 88:12

50:50

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Fai) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Win vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 70:30

Meta Fit

86% (12/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (8.0 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.04
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R3	Silver Age	Azalea	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	Silver Age	Lexi	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.28
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.46
R7	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.44
R9	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R10	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.41
R12	Silver Age	Oldhim	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.16
R13	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.98
R14	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.52

André Ferreira

dropped • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.6

Surp

3.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Liam Blakeman (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Dave Margetson (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Christel David (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jose Alves (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Alix Czaplewska (Enigma) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Dan Tripp (Fai) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Anatoly Mukhin (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Owen Howdon (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Yehor Zhukovskyi (Azalea) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.21
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.77
R6	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.70
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.69
R9	Silver Age	Azalea	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.14

Joris Verhelst

dropped • 6-3-0

56%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.2

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Kyle Mullings (Lexi) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Lexi) - Expected: 30:70

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Demetrio Bori (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Dominic McKenzie (Azalea) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Filipe Coutinho (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Marcus Archer (Azalea) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Tsz Shing So (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jonathan DUMONT (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Joshua Kinnett (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.19
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.51
R5	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	Silver Age	Azalea	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.60
R8	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.69
R9	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Alejandro López Lao

dropped • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Tomas Fernandes ()

90:10

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Mathis Reteuna (Oldhim) - Expected: 88:12

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Adam Haill (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Pierre Canali (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Eloi Meens (Lexi) - Expected: 30:70

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

70:30

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs René Rost (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 70:30

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.06
R4	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R5	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.43
R6	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Lexi	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R8	Silver Age	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.52

Piotr Siewko

dropped • 4-5-0

78%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Adam West (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs David Chirulescu (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Niklas Jansson (Azalea) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Richard Schröder (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

90:10

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Justin Kruft (Oldhim) - Expected: 88:12

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Lorenzo Paino (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jack Rhys-Burgess (Fai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Will Melyn (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Azalea	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.12
R7	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.60
R8	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R9	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Quest Pittman

dropped • 4-5-0

89%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.5

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan DUMONT (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs George Jones (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Louise Roberts (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Tsunoda Shingo (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Joonas Ervald (Lexi) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Alexandre MENAGE (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Adrian Isaac (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	Silver Age	Lexi	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Silver Age	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Arthur Trehet

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Brad Stapleton (Enigma) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Antonis Kazouris (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tanel Tammiste (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Tom Hazell (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Callum Elcock (Lexi) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Declan Macewan (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R5	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Lexi	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mateusz Grzonka

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Lexi) - Expected: 30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Adrian Isaac (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

90:10

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Oldhim) - Expected: 88:12, favorite upset

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Oleg Zabalujev (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Rob Catton (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Oliver O'Connor (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Krzysztof Nowek (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jagreen Lern (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	Silver Age	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	90%	Loss	✓	0.88	-
R4	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.68
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

Alexander Hempelmann

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.9

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Rokas Pocius (Azalea) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Sharpes (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kenny Van Rompaey (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Edward Bayford (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

70:30

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Mark Duro (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 70:30

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jamie Youngs (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Ben Emmanuel (Fai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Azalea	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.37
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.53
R7	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Daniel Winning

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs John Hawkins (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

70:30

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Steele (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Chris Morgan (Fai) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Toon Vertommen (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.22
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.60
R5	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.55
R6	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

Jacob Clements

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jaber Hye (Fai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Alexandru Cucereanu (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50

90:10

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Elliott Chacksfield (Oldhim) - Expected: 88:12

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Valerie Tompkins (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.13
R6	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.66
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

Joachim Hendriksen

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Vittor Matiazo (Fai) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Robert Robinson (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Ben McConnochie (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jonas Wust (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Enigma) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Timothy Worrall (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.15
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.22
R4	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.76
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Andrei Sebastian Suciu

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Asger Thomsen Brem (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Clements (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs VALENTIN MARIGNAC (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Joachim Hendriksen (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Stefano Berian (Fai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Fai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.13
R2	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.88
R6	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Bogdan-Andrei Oros

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tanel Tammiste (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Chris Thomson (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 70:30

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Thore Ladicke (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs David Petry (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 65:35

90:10

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Axel Gay (Oldhim) - Expected: 88:12

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.41
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.15
R6	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Martin Holík

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Trubshaw (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Arnold (Fai) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Lorenzo Paino (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Dávid István Kovács (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

90:10

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Oldhim) - Expected: 88:12, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R3	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.39
R4	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	90%	Loss	✓	0.88	-

Florian Kirsch

dropped • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Mikael Lundberg (Fai) - Expected: 48:52

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tim Coates (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Erik Steenhart (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Adam Sarrington (Enigma) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

George Douglas

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Finlay McBay (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Guetz (Fai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Sergio Martínez ibañez (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Adrian Lee (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ruben Exposito

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Davide Quaglio (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Niels Debosschere (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Spencer Baker (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Heilling (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.58
R4	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Sam Rayment

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Pietro Saccarini (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs David Alfonso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 65:35

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Sharpes (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Mason O'Mara (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R3	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

David Watt

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Gioele Pedalino (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jose Alves (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Kieran Waters (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ed Kennan

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Christel David (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Darius Zacharakis (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Price (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R2	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Maxx Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.