Riptide at Calling: London 2026

Riptide

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Chris Karrandjas

dropped • 4-5-0

78%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

10:90

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Price (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 9:91

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Aaron Hadfield (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Clément Maillet (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Paolo Auria (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Andrei Lazar (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Adam Urban (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Przemysław Smoleń (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

10:90

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 9:91

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Jack Warren (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	10%	Loss	✗	0.09	-
R2	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.36
R5	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.64
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	10%	Loss	✗	0.09	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Ross Chapman

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

10:90

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Kano) - Expected: 8:92

0:100

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Rob Thoen (Oldhim) - Expected: 0:100

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jamie Alison (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Louis Ades (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Paul A Wright (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	10%	Loss	✗	0.08	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R3	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kendal Cannon

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

10:90

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Anatoly Mukhin (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 9:91

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	10%	Loss	✗	0.09	-
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.