Calling: London 2026 - Arakni, Web of Deceit (SAGE)

Arakni, Web of Deceit

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ville Teräväinen

dropped • 5-4-0

44%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.1

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Wyn Davies-Batista (Briar) - Expected: 16:84

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ali Ashkanany (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Guilherme Coutinho (Fai) - Expected: 15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Indigo Bosworth (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Rokas Pocius (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Nicholas Steele (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

15:85

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Giani Gabriel Dinu (Briar) - Expected: 16:84

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Fai	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R4	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.18
R9	Silver Age	Briar	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-

Marcel Schlicher

dropped • 3-5-1

67%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.7

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Briar) - Expected: 16:84

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Marcus Archer (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Cian Cambridge (Briar) - Expected: 16:84

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Shaheen Khoursheed (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Draw vs Stuart McKeown (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Fawaz Jaafar (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs None ()

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Panayot Andreev (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Luca Cornaggia (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R2	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	40%	Draw	✗	0.40	-
R6	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Thore Ladicke

dropped • 3-5-0

38%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Frazer Eastman (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jack Mountford (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Aaron Taylor (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Briar) - Expected: 16:84

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Steffen Bauer (Briar) - Expected: 16:84

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 40:60

15:85

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Briar) - Expected: 16:84

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Briar	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-

Andrei Lazar

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Andrea Shubert (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Radoslav Ogoryalkov (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jakob Pogačnik Souvent (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tony Gleeson (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Chris Karrandjas (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Mikael Lundberg (Fai) - Expected: 15:85

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-

Conor Rourke

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Viet Pham (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Glenn Rosario II (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jan-Philipp Dreikorn

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Fai) - Expected: 15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Macorano (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Marko Martic (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R2	Silver Age	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joel Rencen

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Harrod (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Worrall (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sam Ball

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Mc Namara (Briar) - Expected: 16:84

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Albertas pocius (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.