Calling: London 2026 - Azalea (SAGE)

Azalea

18 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Marcus Archer

dropped • 5-4-0

33%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.7

Surp

3.9

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Christian Bach (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Marcel Schlicher (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Lexi) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Micheal Porter (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Joris Verhelst (Kano) - Expected: 41:59

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Marc Bonnet (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Christel David (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Lexi	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.51
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.82
R6	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.85
R7	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.48

Yehor Zhukovskyi

dropped • 5-4-0

11%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.7

Surp

3.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Fawaz Jaafar (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Tom Barnaby-Pass (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

20:80

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Vulpe Razvan (Oldhim) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

20:80

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Oldhim) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Ethan Krogsgard (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Kacper Fleszar (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

20:80

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Oldhim) - Expected: 22:78

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs André Ferreira (Kano) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

11% (1/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.38
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Win	✗	0.78	0.73
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Win	✗	0.78	0.98
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.99
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R9	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Andrew Pattenden

dropped • 4-5-0

44%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.3

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Debling (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Maciej Szawica (Kayo) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Connop (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Steven Greenspan (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Panayot Andreev (Kayo) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Red Itärinne (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.10
R8	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Carlota Fernández

dropped • 4-5-0

33%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.9

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Kayo) - Expected: 38:62

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ben Potter (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 27:73

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs David Alfonso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Kevin Cowie (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Jovic (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Adrian Lee (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Bastian Henneberg (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Cecil-Ember Phoenix (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.68
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R9	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jakub Nowicki

dropped • 4-5-0

22%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.3

Diff

20:80

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Oldhim) - Expected: 22:78

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Alan Bainbridge (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Maciej Graszek (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Juliane Henning (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Adam Haigh (Enigma) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Neil Jones (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Paul A Wright (Enigma) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

30:70

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Nicholas Steele (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

22% (2/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.66
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.07
R8	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Aria Loog

dropped • 2-7-0

56%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Enigma) - Expected: 38:62

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Ankeshian (Lexi) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Simon Lüthi (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Layne Forrest (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Stuart McKeown (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Luca Greenspan (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs None ()

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Silver Age	Lexi	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R8	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Niklas Jansson

dropped • 1-7-0

50%

Meta

-2.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Karl Naylor (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jonathon Weiss (Marlynn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Piotr Siewko (Kano) - Expected: 41:59

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Florian Anger (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Sara van Reeken (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Miroslav Mojik (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Peter Søndergaard Hald (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Juliane Henning (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Rokas Pocius

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Adam Hove (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Rafa Lopez Martinez (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Kyle Mullings (Lexi) - Expected: 45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.18
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.37
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.81
R6	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Pavlos Georgiou

dropped • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tony Gleeson (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ervin Bešić (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Mark Smith (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Bence Kustra (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Alan Bainbridge (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Gary White (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Alix Czaplewska (Enigma) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.54
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Carl Meisner

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Mehmet Huseyin (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs James Micklewright (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Paul Hyman (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Christoph Dietrich (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Verdance	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.27

Jakub Bystřický

dropped • 3-3-0

17%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Samuel Carballido (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Callum Elcock (Lexi) - Expected: 45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Cecil-Ember Phoenix (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs David Dyson (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 27:73

20:80

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Oldhim) - Expected: 22:78

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.29
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.38
R3	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Samo Planinc

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.2

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs David Alfonso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Will Melyn (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Liam Canning (Kano) - Expected: 41:59

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jyry Soinio (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Liam Holden (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.64
R4	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tom Jones

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Vincent Lonnee (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Denis Gergov (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Adam Strother (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Stefan Hilderink (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Aaron Hadfield

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Lewis Pratt (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Chris Karrandjas (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Peter Søndergaard Hald (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

20:80

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Austin De Young (Oldhim) - Expected: 22:78

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Steven Greenspan (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Andres Sandoval Mendez (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.06
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Dominic McKenzie

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Noah Devos (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Noah Dreckmann (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Rafael Durán (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Kano) - Expected: 41:59

20:80

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Gabriel Grosset (Oldhim) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

anthony blakeman

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ashley Southwood (Betsy) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Liam Blakeman (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Ali Ashkanany (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.70
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bence Kustra

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jan Höckendorff ()

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Lexi) - Expected: 45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Pavlos Georgiou (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Christopher de Bruijn

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.5

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs stephen Mcauliffe (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Liam Blakeman (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

20:80

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Igor Koutzevitch (Oldhim) - Expected: 22:78

20:80

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Marko Antonic (Oldhim) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.