Calling: London 2026 - Kayo, Strong-arm (SAGE)

Kayo, Strong-arm

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Gary White

dropped • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

4.7

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Gehringer (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tim Edwards (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Adrian Lee (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Mathis Reteuna (Oldhim) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs René Rost (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Pavlos Georgiou (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs John Hawkins (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Daniel Papež (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gaál Benjamin

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Paolo Auria (Briar) - Expected: 15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Georg Sossnowetz (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Louis Ades (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Melvin Valderrey (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Paul Conaty (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs YeeHo Chow (Oldhim) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Thomas Battaglia

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.7

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Krogsgard (Briar) - Expected: 15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Kenny Van Rompaey (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Marko Antonic (Oldhim) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Diran Bajwa (Briar) - Expected: 15:85

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Lloyd Forsyth (Oldhim) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Konrad Paziewski (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R2	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.90
R4	Silver Age	Briar	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.51
R6	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Edward Bayford

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.1

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Elliott Chacksfield (Oldhim) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jack Rhys-Burgess (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Luca Cornaggia (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.30
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Laurens Overgaauw

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Thorge von Bostel (Boltyn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Florian Kirsch (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Wichink Kruit (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Sergio Martínez ibañez (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Konrad Paziewski (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Steele (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Boltyn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dave Margetson

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Michael Lackner (Briar) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs André Ferreira (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Urban (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Oldhim) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	15%	Win	✗	0.85	0.54
R2	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Stuart Reeve

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Julien Desuter (Oldhim) - Expected: 29:71

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Eloi Meens (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jaber Hye (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Henry Cooke (Briar) - Expected: 15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Sarrington (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Briar	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

James Micklewright

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jack Fejer (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Finn Macdonald (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Stuart McKeown (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Carl Meisner (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joseph Larkin

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Lewis Miller (Oldhim) - Expected: 29:71

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Vlad Ciobotea (Oldhim) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.