Calling: London 2026 - Dorinthea (SAGE)

Dorinthea

22 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kiran Lee

2nd • 14-3-0

82%

Meta

+4.5

Perf

7.4

Surp

5.9

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Phan Nguyen Nguyen (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Magne Gjennestad (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

70:30

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Erik Baalhuis (Rhinar) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Josh Keys (Enigma) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Aaron Heimbeck (Enigma) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Florian Vanbrakel (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Bart de Jong (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

80:20

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Aleix Córdoba (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 82:18

80:20

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Alex Neseyif-Deakin (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 82:18

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

80:20

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Win vs Jose Alves (Vynnset) - Expected: 80:20

50:50

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R15 SAGE

Round 15: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

R16

R16 SAGE

Round 16: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R17 SAGE

Round 17: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

82% (14/17 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.5 Wins (9.5 expected, 14 actual)

Surprise

7.4 total deviation

Difficulty

5.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.09
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.27
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.34
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.36
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.39
R8	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.47
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.15
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.17
R11	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.67
R13	Silver Age	Vynnset	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.25
R14	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.78
R15	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.90
R16	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.94
R17	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Pierre-Nicolas Perrin

5th • 12-3-0

87%

Meta

+2.7

Perf

5.7

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Bastian Henneberg (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Quest Pittman (Kano) - Expected: 44:56

85:15

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Andrea Migliavacca (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 84:16

70:30

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Emad Kashy (Rhinar) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Juan Chacon (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Max Karstenberg (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 82:18

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Mattia Vigliarolo (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

85:15

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Kiran Lee (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Niels Debosschere (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

85:15

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Win vs Kevin Gehringer (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 84:16

50:50

R15 SAGE

Round 15: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

87% (13/15 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.7 Wins (9.3 expected, 12 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.06
R2	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.16
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.04
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.07
R5	Silver Age	Rhinar	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.18
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.38
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.47
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.15
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.86
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.14
R11	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.73
R12	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R13	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R14	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.24
R15	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Nguyen Giang

37th • 10-4-0

93%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

6.6

Surp

4.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Curnow (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Enigma) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs David Baker (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Toby Beckham (Rhinar) - Expected: 69:31

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Adam Urban (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R10

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R11

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

80:20

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Win vs Stefan Manole (Vynnset) - Expected: 80:20

50:50

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

93% (13/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.16
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.21
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.15
R5	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.48
R8	Silver Age	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R9	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R10	Silver Age	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.79
R12	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R13	Silver Age	Vynnset	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.30
R14	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.02

Juan Chacon

49th • 9-5-0

79%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

6.9

Surp

3.4

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Alejandro López Lao (Kano) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Haroldas Stravinskas (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Ian Zhang (Enigma) - Expected: 45:55

85:15

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Potter (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 84:16

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jonny Chapman (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jose Alves (Vynnset) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset

85:15

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Stephen Manning (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 84:16

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Cedric Chartraire (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

R11

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Simone Paterniti (Kassai) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

35:65

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

50:50

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Loss vs Lewis Foulkes (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (7.8 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.20
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.33
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.09
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.41
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Vynnset	80%	Loss	✓	0.80	-
R9	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.16
R10	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R11	Silver Age	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.79
R12	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.23
R13	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R14	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Liam Holden

55th • 9-5-0

64%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

5.7

Surp

3.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Indigo Bosworth (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Viet Pham (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 37:63

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs David Baker (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Bastian Henneberg (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Samo Planinc (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

85:15

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Ian Porter (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 84:16

85:15

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs David Moore (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 84:16

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Kane Wilson (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

85:15

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Julien Desuter (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

45:55

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Enigma) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Win vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

64% (9/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (7.7 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	Silver Age	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.34
R6	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.13
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.15
R9	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.61
R10	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.16
R12	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R13	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.19
R14	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Antonis Kazouris

dropped • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.3

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Geoffroy Massard (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Kevin Thang (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Kano) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 84:16

80:20

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jose Alves (Vynnset) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Bernardo José Alves (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Kacper Fleszar (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.02
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.21
R3	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.39
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.53
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.17
R7	Silver Age	Vynnset	80%	Loss	✓	0.80	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R9	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.95

Jakub Koenner

dropped • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.6

Diff

80:20

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Aaron Nichols (Vynnset) - Expected: 80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Cecil-Ember Phoenix (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Leonardo Poppa (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Georg Sossnowetz (Iyslander) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Italo Molina (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Nguyen Giang (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Davide Giacca (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Layne Forrest (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.04
R2	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.32
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.74
R8	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.95

Jason Rolfe

dropped • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Price (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Phil richards (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Viet Pham (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 37:63

85:15

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Tobias Lee (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 84:16

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Samuel Parry (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

85:15

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs YeeHo Chow (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Kane Wilson (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Gary White (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Maxx Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.14
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.14
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.16
R8	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R9	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Samuel Braben

dropped • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Felipe Thomaz (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Rafa Lopez Martinez (Iyslander) - Expected: 58:42

80:20

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Harle (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 82:18

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Max Escaler (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ben Emmanuel (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jack Raven (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 84:16

80:20

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Alex Neseyif-Deakin (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

85:15

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 84:16

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.18
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.10
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.17
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	80%	Loss	✓	0.82	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R9	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.26

Will Melyn

dropped • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.6

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Chad Heuschober (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 84:16

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Samo Planinc (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

70:30

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jyry Soinio (Rhinar) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tomasz Stanicki (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

85:15

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ben McConnochie (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 84:16

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jonas Wust (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Aaron Eddy (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Tommaso Turchi (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Kano) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.03
R2	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.14
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R9	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.18

Finn Macdonald

dropped • 4-5-0

89%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

4.2

Surp

1.1

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs James Adams (Rhinar) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs James Micklewright (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Paul Farnell (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Austin Ryan (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Eloi Meens (Lexi) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.09
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.41
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R9	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Kevin Cowie

dropped • 2-7-0

89%

Meta

-3.1

Perf

5.2

Surp

1.9

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Enigma) - Expected: 45:55

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Birtwell (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13, favorite upset

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Louise Roberts (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Carlota Fernández (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Peter Søndergaard Hald (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Stuart McKeown (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Adrian Isaac (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs None ()

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Panayot Andreev (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Loss	✓	0.87	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	85%	Loss	✓	0.84	-
R7	Silver Age	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.02

Thomas van den Berg

dropped • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Junxian Xie (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Connor McGrath (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

80:20

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Shelby Ward (Dash) - Expected: 80:20

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Fogg (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

85:15

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Lars-Christian Lieckfeldt (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 84:16

80:20

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Alan Williams (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 82:18

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Rafa Lopez Martinez (Iyslander) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R3	Silver Age	Dash	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.14
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.18
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.25
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.79

Anton Cid Mejias

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Kano) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Holland (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Enigma) - Expected: 45:55

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Rob Catton (Vynnset) - Expected: 80:20

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Tom Jones (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Liam Canning (Kano) - Expected: 44:56

25:75

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Florian) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.49
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.18
R5	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	Silver Age	Florian	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Nathan Hills

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs anthony blakeman (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Lori Vanderhulst (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Tom Jones (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Luis Toeffels (Florian) - Expected: 24:76

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ian Zhang (Enigma) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Guilherme Coutinho (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R3	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Florian	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.82
R6	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Jonas Wust

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Theo Mussy (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Julien Desuter (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

85:15

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Callum McMurray (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 84:16

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Cedric Chartraire (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Joachim Hendriksen (Kano) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Will Melyn (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.06
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.11
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Alex Chițu

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Kendal Cannon (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Péter Kökény (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Filipe Coutinho (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

85:15

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Kit Valentine (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.48
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.17
R6	Silver Age	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Davide Quaglio

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.9

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Kano) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Milan Pěkný (Enigma) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Enigma) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Samuel Curnow (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Steffen Bauer (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jason Kelly (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.68
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Jakub Kouřil

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Joonas Ervald (Lexi) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ilya Polkovnichenko (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Mike Williams (Dromai) - Expected: 12:88

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Liam Blakeman (Rhinar) - Expected: 69:31

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Red Itärinne (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.38
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.42
R5	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Hemal Patel

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.8

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Phil richards (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Aaron Eddy (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

70:30

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Rhinar) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Fredrik Bill (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.32
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.48
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

David Baker

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.1

Diff

80:20

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Melvin Valderrey (Vynnset) - Expected: 80:20

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Nguyen Giang (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Liam Holden (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Noah Greenwood

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.1

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Birtwell (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs VALENTIN MARIGNAC (Kano) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Alan Bainbridge (Briar) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Maciej Walenczykowski (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.05
R2	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.