Kayo at Calling: London 2026

Kayo

30 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Niels Debosschere

3rd • 13-3-0

50%

Meta

+5.1

Perf

8.0

Surp

6.5

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Kenworthy (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Mark Duro (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Raphaël Caliendo Spera (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Peter Bråss (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Ian Holland (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jonny Chapman (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Noè Giussani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Warre Sevens (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

R11

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Jose Alves (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

45:55

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Dorinthea) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Loss vs Kevin Gehringer (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R15 SAGE

Round 15: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R16 SAGE

Round 16: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

50% (8/16 favorable matchups)

Performance

+5.1 Wins (7.9 expected, 13 actual)

Surprise

8.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.21
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.30
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.38
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R7	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.53
R8	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.61
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R10	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.52
R11	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.69
R12	Silver Age	Dorinthea	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.86
R13	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R14	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R15	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.78
R16	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Sammy Weckx

5th • 12-3-0

47%

Meta

+4.6

Perf

7.0

Surp

5.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Leeming (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs David Baker (Dorinthea) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Ian Holland (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tsz Shing So (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Mattia Vigliarolo (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Tommaso Turchi (Fai) - Expected: 73:27

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Szabolcs Egri (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Adam Tuček (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

20:80

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Alex Neseyif-Deakin (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 20:80

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Daniel Collett (Fai) - Expected: 73:27

R12

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Bart de Jong (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Dorinthea) - Expected: 45:55

R14

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

45:55

R15 SAGE

Round 15: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Dorinthea) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

47% (7/15 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 12 actual)

Surprise

7.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.15
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.24
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.32
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.18
R7	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.57
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.59
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.56
R11	Silver Age	Fai	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.33
R12	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R13	Silver Age	Dorinthea	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.00
R14	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.93
R15	Silver Age	Dorinthea	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Florian Vanbrakel

42nd • 10-4-0

50%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

7.3

Surp

5.6

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Kin Bong Ernie Wong (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ethan Krogsgard (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jamie Youngs (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Rhinar) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Fai) - Expected: 73:27

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Dorinthea) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs James Muir (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jack Raven (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Rhinar) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Fai) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Ian Holland (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Dan Moldovan (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

R13

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

50% (7/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

7.3 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.18
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.16
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.61
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.64
R9	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	Silver Age	Fai	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R11	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.96
R12	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.04
R13	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.93
R14	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.85

Matthew Duggan

51st • 9-5-0

36%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

6.6

Surp

3.9

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Mathis Reteuna (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Winning (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Petter Olsson (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Raj Parikh (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Dávid István Kovács (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Ethan Krogsgard (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Win vs Keir Sweeney (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Loss vs Nguyen Giang (Dorinthea) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

36% (5/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.06
R2	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.12
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.24
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.40
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R8	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.47
R9	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.78
R10	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R11	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R12	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R13	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.04
R14	Silver Age	Dorinthea	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Richard Schröder

78th • 8-6-0

64%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

6.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jaka Burnik (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Vincent Wichink Kruit (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar) - Expected: 53:47

20:80

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 20:80

75:25

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Vittor Matiazo (Fai) - Expected: 73:27

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Geoffroy Massard (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Christopher Richter (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Rhinar) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Mathew Davies (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Lexi) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Win vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Lexi) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

64% (9/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.06
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.16
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R5	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.33
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.23
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R9	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R10	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R12	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.55
R13	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.59
R14	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Emlyn Ingram

dropped • 6-6-0

67%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

5.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

80:20

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Adam Haigh (Enigma) - Expected: 80:20

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs ethan cull (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Hon-man Yau (Fai) - Expected: 73:27

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Antonis Kazouris (Dorinthea) - Expected: 45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Robert Alessi (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Fai) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

75:25

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs George Rodger (Fai) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs arthur conot (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Jonny Chapman (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (6.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.03
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Fai	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.11
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.38
R5	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.71
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R9	Silver Age	Fai	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R10	Silver Age	Fai	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R11	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R12	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Andrew Trubshaw

dropped • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.1

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Martin Holík (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Nefra Greywulf (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Junxian Xie (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Lorenz Krassnig (Fai) - Expected: 73:27

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Paddy Morgan (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Callum McMurray (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

80:20

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Enigma) - Expected: 80:20

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Christel David (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs James Naylor (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.27
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.20
R5	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.74
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.25
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.75
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.85

Greg Nichols

dropped • 6-3-0

44%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Lubos Vanicek (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Reuben Thomas (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Cedric Chartraire (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Tadhg Conaty (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Rhinar) - Expected: 53:47

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Gabe Sher (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs John Zapata (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Filipe Coutinho (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.27
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.68
R6	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.61
R7	Silver Age	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Maciej Szawica

dropped • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.9

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Wichink Kruit (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Anthony De Vincentis (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Julian Flury (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Andrew Pattenden (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Patrick Jud (Lexi) - Expected: 64:36

80:20

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Noah Clark (Enigma) - Expected: 80:20

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Andrei Joghiu (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Adam Parker (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.19
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.35
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.21
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.74
R9	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Raj Parikh

dropped • 6-3-0

33%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ian Porter (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Mário Abrantes (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Hon-man Yau (Fai) - Expected: 73:27

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Christian Bach (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Samuel Braben (Dorinthea) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.27
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.25
R6	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.81
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Dorinthea	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.02
R9	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Timothy Worrall

dropped • 6-3-0

56%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.3

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Pierre Canali (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Karanjeet Singh (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Joel Rencen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Christian Sal (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Oli Cornish (Lexi) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Gabriel Ankeshian (Lexi) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Joachim Hendriksen (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Declan Macewan (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.54
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.35
R6	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.42
R7	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.65
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R9	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Dayvid Kayal

dropped • 5-4-0

78%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Carlota Fernández (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Enigma) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Rob Thoen (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Scupham (Rhinar) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Brandon Barefoot (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Mark Warren (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

75:25

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Phil richards (Fai) - Expected: 73:27

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs René Rost (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Joscha Amann (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Loss	✓	0.80	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.41
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.46
R6	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.35
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.99
R9	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Fabian Schunn

dropped • 4-5-0

44%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

4.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Bjarki már Ingólfsson (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Adam West (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Robert Mueller (Rhinar) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Carreira (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Steven O'Reilly (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jagreen Lern (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	Silver Age	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.41
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.68
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.66
R8	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R9	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Panayot Andreev

dropped • 1-8-0

56%

Meta

-3.4

Perf

4.5

Surp

0.1

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Lars-Christian Lieckfeldt (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Karanjeet Singh (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Leonardo Poppa (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Lexi) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jose vicente Rodriguez Palazon (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Pattenden (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Marcel Schlicher (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Kevin Cowie (Dorinthea) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R6	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Dorinthea	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty

dropped • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.7

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Lexi) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

20:80

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 20:80

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Emel Walsh (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Buntrock (Fai) - Expected: 73:27

20:80

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs David Towsey (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Rob Thoen (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Nathan Hills (Dorinthea) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Tadej Krmac (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Fai	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.23
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	20%	Win	✗	0.80	1.45
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.01
R8	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Noah Beygelman

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tomas Fernandes ()

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Dimitrios Stergiou (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Florian Koksch (Lexi) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Kane Wilson (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.32
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Kris Mersol

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ha-Lim Chang (Rhinar) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

75:25

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Italo Molina (Fai) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Patrik Koller (Fai) - Expected: 73:27

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Kevin Thang (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Andreas Guetz (Fai) - Expected: 73:27

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Paddy Morgan (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.26
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.87
R6	Silver Age	Fai	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.39
R7	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daniel Christie

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Fai) - Expected: 73:27

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar) - Expected: 53:47

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Jovic (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Adam Strother (Rhinar) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.15
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.76
R6	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

James Flynn

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Andrea Migliavacca (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Iles (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 56:44

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Kate Dunstone (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs George Keys (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

20:80

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Samuel Curnow

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Nguyen Giang (Dorinthea) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Joonas Ervald (Lexi) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tom Hazell (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Davide Quaglio (Dorinthea) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs David Alfonso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Mark Duro (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.19
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Frazer Eastman

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Thore Ladicke (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jack Warren (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Maniscalco (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.68
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Frederick Middleton

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs riccardo battaglia (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Andrius Pečiulis (Lexi) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Filipe Coutinho (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs David Gómez (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Srdja Stetic-Kozic (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.97
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Stevie Van Overtveldt

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Karanjeet Singh (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Joscha Amann (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Erik Skinstad (Fai) - Expected: 73:27

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Raphaël Caliendo Spera (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.24
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.36
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Louis Van Keymeulen

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Damian Rusin (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jack Brewer (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Adriano Izzi (Cindra) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Oscar Magaldi (Lexi) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Tess van Dartel

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.4

Diff

20:80

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Aleix Córdoba (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 20:80

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Lillie Cutler (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Peter Stürmer (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Irvine (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan DUMONT (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Andy Dand

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kacper Fleszar (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs John Hawkins (Rhinar) - Expected: 53:47

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Victor Cardoso (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Silver Age	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.69
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

João Marques

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs David Gubau Jové (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Artur Hubert (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Salina Vaes (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Robert Robinson (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.12

Salina Vaes

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Axel Gay (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jack Raven (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs João Marques (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs James Thourgood (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Nathaniel Payne

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Lori Vanderhulst (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Louis Sice

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Callum Elcock (Lexi) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.