Olympia at Calling: London 2026

Olympia

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Stefan Karlsson

3rd • 12-4-0

88%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

6.5

Surp

4.1

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 67:33

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Carl Meisner (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jose Maria Mellado Becerra (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 67:33

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Denis Medjic (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Michiel Flaton (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Srdja Stetic-Kozic (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Florian Bouteyron (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 67:33

85:15

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Oldhim) - Expected: 84:16

85:15

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Julien Desuter (Oldhim) - Expected: 84:16

65:35

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Christopher Richter (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Matthew Kenworthy (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 62:38

45:55

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Win vs Kim Scheerer (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R15 SAGE

Round 15: Win vs Kevin Gehringer (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 67:33

R16

R16 SAGE

Round 16: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (14/16 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (9.6 expected, 12 actual)

Surprise

6.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.04
R2	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.11
R4	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R7	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.48
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.29
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.14
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.15
R11	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.40
R12	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.51
R13	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.90
R14	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R15	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.55
R16	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Robin Wagner

24th • 10-4-0

86%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

5.5

Surp

3.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs James Brookes (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

85:15

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Oldhim) - Expected: 84:16

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tom Barnaby-Pass (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 67:33

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Oldhim) - Expected: 84:16

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

85:15

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jack Bradbury (Oldhim) - Expected: 84:16

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs George Rodger (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Keir Sweeney (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Valerie Tompkins (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 67:33

R13

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Win vs Bart de Jong (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R14

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (12/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (8.5 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.05
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.17
R5	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.11
R7	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.55
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.14
R9	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R10	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.42
R11	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R12	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.50
R13	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.93
R14	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Giacomo Mosca

60th • 9-4-1

79%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

6.2

Surp

3.7

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Alan Bainbridge (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs riccardo battaglia (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

85:15

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Samuel Parry (Oldhim) - Expected: 84:16

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

85:15

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Christian Jelle (Oldhim) - Expected: 84:16

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jack Bradbury (Oldhim) - Expected: 84:16

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R10

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Draw vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R11

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Filipe Coutinho (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

R14

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Win vs Robert Alessi (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (8.1 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.05
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.09
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.11
R7	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.63
R9	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R10	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.95
R13	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R14	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Mariusz Suchanecki

80th • 8-6-0

79%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

7.4

Surp

3.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Florian Kirsch (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs robert john hall (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Maik Wiesen (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Samo Planinc (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Gehringer (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Dávid István Kovács (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Giacomo Mosca (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

85:15

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Oldhim) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset

R11

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

65:35

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Stephen Manning (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Win vs Dan Moldovan (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (7.6 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

7.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.21
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.55
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R9	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Loss	✓	0.84	-
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.50
R13	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R14	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.11

George Turner

dropped • 3-6-0

78%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

4.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Lillie Cutler (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Bernardo José Alves (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Alix Czaplewska (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Adam West (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Aaron Taylor (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Adam Parker (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Kinnett (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Christopher Chalk (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Oli Cornish (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gabriel Leeming

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.8

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Christoph Dietrich (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Adrian Isaac (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Adam Sarrington (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs gabriel głowicki (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Magne Gjennestad (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Silver Age	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.79
R6	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Rowan Webb

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.1

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Seb Ball (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Florian Schmidt (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Andrea Migliavacca (Oldhim) - Expected: 84:16

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Anatoly Mukhin (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Ben Emmanuel (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.55
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.17
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tom Hazell

dropped • 2-2-1

80%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Kieran Waters (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jonny Chapman (Briar) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Samuel Curnow (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Draw vs Julian Flury (Oldhim) - Expected: 84:16

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.48
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Draw	✓	0.84	-
R5	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ryan Torbert

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Carl Boyle (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.