Calling: London 2026 - Pleiades (SAGE)

Pleiades

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Mark Warren

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.0

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Briar) - Expected: 25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jaber Hye (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Ethan Cheyney (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Ha-Lim Chang (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Chris Morgan (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Hon-man Yau (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Louis Ades

dropped • 2-5-0

86%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kate Dunstone (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tsunoda Shingo (Briar) - Expected: 25:75

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Ross Chapman (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Anthony De Vincentis (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Adrian Lee (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Juliane Henning (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Aaron Taylor

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Richard Lythe ()

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ryan Goldfinger (Briar) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Gehringer (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Thore Ladicke (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs George Turner (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Briar	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.80
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Oliver Gehrig

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Austin De Young (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

25:75

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Pierre Canali (Briar) - Expected: 25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Grosset (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Unwin (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tom Cordrey

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.8

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Cedric Chartraire (Briar) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jamie Costello (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tomas Fernandes ()

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Neil Jones (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Magne Gjennestad (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andrea Shubert

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Andrei Lazar (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jose Maria Mellado Becerra (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Athena Vogel (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Miw Valle (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ella Brown

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Machi C (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Marc Schuba ()

25:75

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Briar) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Maciej Graszek (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Briar	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jonathan Knapp

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Irvine (Briar) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jack Raven (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Rafa Lopez Martinez (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	25%	Win	✗	0.75	1.00
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Paul Farnell

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.5

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Briar) - Expected: 25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jonas Larsen (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Finn Macdonald (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Kin Bong Ernie Wong (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Douglas Maclure

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Hamish Dean (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.