Calling: London 2026 - Lexi (SAGE)

Lexi

18 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Pierre Rebeyrol

79th • 8-6-0

64%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

5.7

Surp

2.7

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Michael Neugebauer (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Joris Verhelst (Kano) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Adam West (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Karl Naylor (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Iyslander) - Expected: 77:23

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Sander Neeft (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Cedric Chartraire (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Elaine Cao (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

15:85

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

R11

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

15:85

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83

35:65

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Loss vs Richard Schröder (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67

55:45

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Win vs Filipe Coutinho (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

64% (9/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Kano	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.08
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.19
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.14
R6	Silver Age	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R7	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R8	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.62
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R10	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R13	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R14	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.87

Sebastiaan Knetsch

81st • 8-6-0

71%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

6.5

Surp

3.6

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Mateusz Grzonka (Kano) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Bence Kustra (Azalea) - Expected: 55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Dave Margetson (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Louis Guillot (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Emad Kashy (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Valerie Tompkins (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 37:63

R10

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

35:65

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Adam Tuček (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Richard Schröder (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67

R13

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Win vs None ()

55:45

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Win vs Steffen Bauer (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

71% (10/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.04
R2	Silver Age	Azalea	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.12
R3	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.21
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.41
R5	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R7	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R9	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R10	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R12	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R13	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.93
R14	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.87

Oli Cornish

dropped • 4-5-0

78%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Thierry Entringer (Lexi) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Edward Harris (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Liam Canning (Kano) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Worrall (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Bastian Henneberg (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Vincent Wichink Kruit (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Wilson (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs George Turner (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Kano	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.58
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R8	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Joonas Ervald

dropped • 3-6-0

56%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

4.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jakub Kouřil (Dorinthea) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Samuel Curnow (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Mattia Vigliarolo (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Mathew Davies (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Leonardo Poppa (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Michel Westermann (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Quest Pittman (Kano) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs John Hawkins (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

15:85

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Lloyd Forsyth (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.15
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.36
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.45
R8	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Callum Elcock

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.4

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Louis Sice (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Bystřický (Azalea) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Adam Parker (Dromai) - Expected: 48:52

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Youngjin Ki (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Isaac Fogg (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Kano) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Azalea	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.72
R5	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.54
R6	Silver Age	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.51
R8	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Eloi Meens

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.4

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Stuart Reeve (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Steffen Bauer (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Finn Macdonald (Dorinthea) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Laura Nielsen (Lexi) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Alejandro López Lao (Kano) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Mathew Davies (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.32
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.54
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Kano	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.51
R8	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Laura Nielsen

dropped • 3-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.9

Diff

75:25

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Georg Sossnowetz (Iyslander) - Expected: 77:23

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Seb Ball (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tommaso Turchi (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Edward Catling (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Eloi Meens (Lexi) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Draw vs Mikael Lundberg (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.05
R2	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

Tov Hanssen

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Stefan Manole (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Peter Smyth (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs YeeHo Chow (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Callum Hancock (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Péter Kökény (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Axel Gay (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.82
R5	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Florian Koksch

dropped • 3-3-0

17%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Mark Duro (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.27
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.48
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Gabriel Ankeshian

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Patryk Wasielewski (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Toon Vertommen (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Radoslav Ogoryalkov (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Aria Loog (Azalea) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Sobral (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Timothy Worrall (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.58
R5	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.72
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Hamish Dean

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Douglas Maclure (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs David Dyson (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Richter (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Adam Mann (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Andrea Migliavacca (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jaber Hye (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.96
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jeremy Miller

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Edward Catling (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Kenworthy (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Marcus Archer (Azalea) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Panayot Andreev (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jack Warren (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.35
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Kyle Mullings

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.5

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Kano) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Zach Evans (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

75:25

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Damian Rusin (Iyslander) - Expected: 77:23

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Petter Olsson (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Rokas Pocius (Azalea) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Rodrigo Iñiguez (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.19
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	Silver Age	Azalea	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Oscar Magaldi

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Haroldas Stravinskas (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Dain Heywood (Dromai) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Toon Vertommen (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Arnold (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Magne Gjennestad (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.36
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.35
R6	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Patrick Jud

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jamie Youngs (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Miroslav Mojik (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Maciej Szawica (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.15
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Thierry Entringer

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Oli Cornish (Lexi) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Olivia Farrimond (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Nuno Amaral (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Heilling (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Andrius Pečiulis

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Frederick Middleton (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Lisa-Marie Schulte (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Michael Lackner (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.87

Steven Vanbecelaere

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Péter Kökény (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 37:63

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Elliott Chacksfield (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Alex Price (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.22
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.