Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2025

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

13 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Bino Nolting

5th • 5-2-0

43%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kristian Scheibe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marius Krebs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

75:25

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Felix Krisch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Robin Wagner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Nica Roth (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.42
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.59
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R11	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.61
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.31
R13	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Benjamin Lambrich

17th • 5-1-0

83%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

2.7

Surp

4.5

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christopher Richter (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christian Bach (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Paul Moerler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Tom Tydecks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Alexander Rosenberger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Felix Ebert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.07
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.39
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R11	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.20
R12	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Win	✗	0.58	2.50

Tobias Reincke

35th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.7

Surp

3.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Toni Schwarze (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Johannes Kilzer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Laurin Niehues (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Duc Minh Tran (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Fahri Findik (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Tom Tydecks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.14
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.43
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R10	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R11	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.25
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.70

Zafri Jeffri

51st • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Felix Ebert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Duc Minh Tran (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Daniel Peuker (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Paul Beese (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Fahri Findik (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.21
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.61	2.27
R11	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R12	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.37

Phil Kohnen

23rd • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nikolas Kersting (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 68:32

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Simon Klein (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Luis Toeffels (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.09
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.41
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

Linus Albat

29th • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dominic Blasius (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mark Duro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Benedikt Sylvester (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Xiaoliang Yang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.46
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.59	2.35
R12	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Benedikt Sylvester

37th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

4.2

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Schreiber (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Marius Grosch (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mira Kubiczak (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Linus Albat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Maximilian Stabenow (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Erik Elberfeld (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.20
R12	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	2.60

Sebastian Feick

65th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

3.2

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rene Farwer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Aaron Rose (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Dennis Seitz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Dennis Nissen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Daniel Peuker (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.13
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.39
R10	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.61	2.73

Linh Tran

63rd • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lars Erichsen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christian Weißling (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Simon Klein (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Daniel Peuker (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Julia Happel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.41
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.61	2.50
R12	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Christian Nefzger

dropped • 3-0-0

100%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

1.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Florian Huepper (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mark Duro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stefan Hofmüller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.53
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Christian Bach

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.2

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dennis Krstic (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Lambrich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.16
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Julius Ihle

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kirill Antropov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Laura Wichert (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Florian Huepper (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.79

Martynas Norbutas

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Max Löhe (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Kläsener (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Johannes Kilzer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.