Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
4.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Kläsener (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philipp Steinfort (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
Round 3: Win vs Frederic Fuessmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Laurin Niehues (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Luis Toeffels (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
Round 12: Win vs Toni Schwarze (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Laurin Niehues (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
18th • 5-1-0
83%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
4.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lars Erichsen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Macorano (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
36th • 5-1-0
67%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
6.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mario Trosien (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexej Frikel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Round 10: Loss vs Robin Scornia (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 11: Win vs Nico Soni (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Rene [Puk] Hentschel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
6.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
19th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
4.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Walter Heidtmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Viet Pham (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Simon Rueß (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
Round 12: Win vs Phil Kohnen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
27th • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Brockhage (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Win vs Finn Labe (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stephan Schwarz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Luis Toeffels (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Simon Rueß (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
33rd • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
5.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Julia Happel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Macorano (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Marius Grosch (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 10: Win vs Frederic Fuessmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Marius Krebs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dennis Krstic (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
44th • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Hauser (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Enes Findik (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
20:80
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Duc Minh Tran (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Christopher Bizau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
49th • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
6.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christian Bach (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Round 2: Win vs Max Löhe (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jascha Werth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Round 11: Win vs Kirill Antropov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
6.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs nino Zimmermann (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Timo Cullmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Harms (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jan-Hendrik Brinkforth (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Xiaoliang Yang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fahri Findik (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Win vs Christian Weißling (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Davis Groza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jan-Hendrik Brinkforth (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Erik Elberfeld (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs nino Zimmermann (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Brockhage (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marius Krebs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Frederic Fuessmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Loss vs Philipp Steinfort (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.