Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

9th 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 65:35
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tobias Koch (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hanno Lünser (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Felix Krisch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bino Nolting (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
62nd 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Stettin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zafri Jeffri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Martin Steinheuer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 29:71
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Simon Reuter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Mert Gezgin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!!
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jascha Werth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
dropped 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
Dorinthea Ironsong
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erik Elberfeld (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Schreiber (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Mario Trosien (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
dropped 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Stabenow (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthias Kempter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Tydecks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
dropped 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
Dash I/O
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Freddy Friedrich (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
dropped 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maximilian Stabenow (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Noah Dreckmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
dropped 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!!
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Seitz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Walter Heidtmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
dropped 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Krstic (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Puffin, Hightail
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nikolas Kersting (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.