National Championship 2025 - Germany: Main Event - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Simon Rueß

16th • 5-1-0

67%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Johannes Janovsky (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marcel Harz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Raphael Nero (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.24
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.52
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.98
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	1.17

Toni Schwarze

12th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

3.4

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tobias Reincke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Florian Huepper (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Felix Gössel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Stephan Schwarz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Simon Rueß (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.47
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.15
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

Marius Grosch

73rd • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.0

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Benedikt Sylvester (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)

20:80

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Mario Trosien (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Simon Klein (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R10	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Mira Kubiczak

71st • 1-5-0

67%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

Deck

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stefan Hofmüller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Maik Wiesen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Benedikt Sylvester (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Julia Happel (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Simon Klein (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R10	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R12	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00

Daniel Kläsener

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Martynas Norbutas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.20
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.62
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Marcel Harz

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.2

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tobias Hartfiel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Simon Rueß (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (1.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.52
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Benjamin Brüssau

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tom Tydecks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Walter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.75

Finn Labe

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dennis Seitz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Raphael Nero (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.19
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Tim Sofsky

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jeremie Pohl (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Marcel Harz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Johannes Janovsky (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.30
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.